UCLA vs. Arizona State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023
The No. 4 UCLA Bruins (25-4, 16-2 Pac-12) are heavily favored (by 11.5 points) to extend a 12-game home win streak when they host the Arizona State Sun Devils (20-9, 11-7 Pac-12) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET. The point total for the matchup is set at 133.5.
UCLA vs. Arizona State Odds
- UCLA odds to win: -715
- Arizona State odds to win: +503
- Spread: UCLA (-11.5)
- Total: 133.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Where: Los Angeles, California
- Venue: Pauley Pavilion
Who Will Win UCLA vs. Arizona State?
UCLA and Arizona State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games it has played as at least 11.5-point favorites this season, UCLA is 10-6 against the spread.
When it has played as at least a 11.5-point underdog this year, Arizona State is 1-0 against the spread.
Between them, these two teams average 11.4 more points per game (144.9) than this matchup’s over/under (133.5).
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 126.9 points per game, 6.6 fewer than the point total for this game.
The average point total in UCLA’s games this year is 0.1 fewer points than the total of 133.5 in this matchup.
Sun Devils games this season have averaged a total of 138.4 points, 4.9 more than the point total in this matchup.
The Bruins have a 15-13-1 record against the spread this season.
The Sun Devils are 13-16-0 against the spread this year.
UCLA Stats & Insights
UCLA’s +408 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 14.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.7 points per game (132nd in college basketball) while giving up 59.7 per contest (sixth in college basketball).
UCLA wins the rebound battle by an average of 3.3 boards. It is recording 32.2 rebounds per game (153rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.9 per contest.
The Bruins hit 6.2 three-pointers per game (300th in college basketball) at a 35.4% rate (116th in college basketball), compared to the 6.5 their opponents make while shooting 30.7% from beyond the arc.
UCLA scores 97.6 points per 100 possessions (86th in college basketball), while allowing 78.9 points per 100 possessions (fourth in college basketball).
The Bruins are scoring 77.5 points per game in home games. On the road, they are averaging 69.8 points per contest.
Arizona State Stats & Insights
Arizona State outscores opponents by 4.0 points per game (posting 71.2 points per game, 189th in college basketball, and conceding 67.2 per contest, 94th in college basketball) and has a +118 scoring differential.
Arizona State records 33.5 rebounds per game (83rd in college basketball), compared to the 34.2 of its opponents.
Arizona State makes 7.5 three-pointers per game (176th in college basketball) at a 31.6% rate (315th in college basketball), compared to the 7.9 its opponents make, shooting 33.7% from deep.
Arizona State averages 89.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (279th in college basketball), and concedes 84.3 points per 100 possessions (32nd in college basketball).
The Sun Devils score 71.1 points per game at home, and 70.6 away.
UCLA Key Players to Watch
The scoring and rebounding leader for the Bruins is Jaime Jaquez Jr., who puts up 17.0 points and 8.0 rebounds per game.
Tyger Campbell is UCLA’s best passer, dispensing 4.6 assists per game while scoring 12.5 PPG.
David Singleton makes more threes per game than any other member of the Bruins, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.0 per contest.
Jaylen Clark is UCLA’s leader in steals, averaging 2.5 steals per game, while Adem Bona leads them in blocks with 1.6 per contest.
Arizona State Key Players to Watch
Desmond Cambridge scores 13.9 points per game and is the top scorer for the Sun Devils.
The Arizona State leaders in rebounding and assists are Warren Washington with 6.7 rebounds per game (he also adds 9.1 points and 1.5 assists per game) and Frankie Collins with 4.5 assists per game (he also tacks on 10.4 points and 4.4 rebounds per game).
Cambridge averages 2.4 three-pointers per game, the most on the Sun Devils.
Cambridge (1.6 steals per game) is the steal leader for Arizona State while Washington (1.9 blocks per game) is the block leader.
UCLA vs. Arizona State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Arizona State (+11.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (133.5)
- Prediction:
UCLA 73, Arizona State 63
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How to Bet on UCLA vs. Arizona State
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