UCSB vs. UC Davis Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023
The UC Davis Aggies (17-12, 10-7 Big West) host the UCSB Gauchos (22-7, 13-5 Big West) after winning four home games in a row. The Gauchos are favored by just 2.5 points in the contest, which tips at 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, March 2, 2023. The point total is 138 for the matchup.
UCSB vs. UC Davis Odds
- UCSB odds to win: -145
- UC Davis odds to win: +123
- Spread: UCSB (-2.5)
- Total: 138
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Davis, California
- Venue: The Pavilion at ARC
Who Will Win UCSB vs. UC Davis?
UCSB and UC Davis Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 2.5 points or more, UCSB has a 12-9-1 record against the spread.
UC Davis has a 3-5 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season.
The Gauchos and the Aggies combine to average 7.4 more points per game than the total of 138 set for this matchup.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 134.7 points per game, 3.3 fewer than the over/under for this matchup.
The average total UCSB has had set in games this year is 2.2 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for the Aggies this season is 6.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.
The Gauchos are 16-10-1 ATS this season.
The Aggies are 12-15-0 against the spread this season.
UCSB Stats & Insights
UCSB is outscoring opponents by 6.0 points per game with a +175 scoring differential overall. It puts up 70.9 points per game (193rd in college basketball) and allows 64.9 per contest (41st in college basketball).
UCSB prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 3.3 boards. It is pulling down 29.8 rebounds per game (285th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 26.5 per outing.
The Gauchos hit 5.5 three-pointers per game (338th in college basketball) at a 34.3% rate (183rd in college basketball), compared to the 5.9 their opponents make while shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc.
UCSB ranks 67th in college basketball with 98.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 134th in college basketball defensively with 89.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In home games, the Gauchos are putting up 6.8 more points per game (74.9) than they are on the road (68.1).
UC Davis Stats & Insights
UC Davis puts up 74.5 points per game (118th in college basketball) while allowing 69.8 per outing (175th in college basketball). It has a +136 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 4.7 points per game.
UC Davis ranks 77th in the country at 33.6 rebounds per game. That’s 4.5 more than the 29.1 its opponents average.
UC Davis makes 6.9 three-pointers per game (238th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.3 on average.
UC Davis averages 93.7 points per 100 possessions (185th in college basketball), while conceding 87.8 points per 100 possessions (81st in college basketball).
The Aggies are scoring more points at home (78.2 per game) than on the road (70.5).
UCSB Key Players to Watch
The leader in points and assists for the Gauchos is Ajay Mitchell, who scores 15.7 points and dishes out 4.9 assists per game.
Andre Kelly leads UCSB in rebounding, grabbing 6.5 rebounds per game while also scoring 9.5 points a contest.
Miles Norris leads the Gauchos in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 1.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Mitchell and Norris lead UCSB on the defensive end, with Mitchell leading the team in steals averaging 1.4 per game and Norris in blocks averaging 0.9 per contest.
UC Davis Key Players to Watch
Elijah Pepper is at the top of almost all of the Aggies’ leaderboards by collecting 22.0 points, 5.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game.
Pepper knocks down 2.3 three-pointers per game, the most on the Aggies.
UC Davis’ leader in steals is Ty Johnson with 1.8 per game, and its leader in blocks is Christian Anigwe with 1.4 per game.
UCSB vs. UC Davis Prediction
- Pick ATS:
UC Davis (+2.5)
- Pick OU:
UCSB 70, UC Davis 69
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