Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy Horizon Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023
The top-seeded Youngstown State Penguins (23-8, 15-5 Horizon) are 8.5-point favorites in the Horizon Tournament over the No. 8 seed Detroit Mercy Titans (14-18, 9-11 Horizon) on Thursday at Beeghly Center. The game begins at 8:00 PM and airs on ESPN+, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 156.5 points.
Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy Odds
- Youngstown State odds to win: -436
- Detroit Mercy odds to win: +336
- Spread: Youngstown State (-8.5)
- Total: 156.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Youngstown, Ohio
- Venue: Beeghly Center
Who Will Win Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy?
Youngstown State and Detroit Mercy Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Youngstown State is 6-4 against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.
In games it has played as at least a 8.5-point underdog this year, Detroit Mercy is 1-4 against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 3.9 more points per game (160.4) than this game’s over/under of 156.5 points.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 148.2 points per game, 8.3 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
Youngstown State’s average point total in outings this year is 156.2, 0.3 points less than the over/under in this game.
The average point total for the Titans this season is 4.1 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
The Penguins are 18-12-0 against the spread this season.
So far this year, the Titans have put together a 13-18-0 record against the spread.
Youngstown State Stats & Insights
Youngstown State averages 83.5 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while allowing 72.7 per outing (258th in college basketball). It has a +332 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 10.8 points per game.
Youngstown State wins the rebound battle by 3.1 boards on average. It collects 32.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 152nd in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.1 per outing.
The Penguins connect on 8.2 three-pointers per game (89th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 7.3 on average.
Youngstown State ranks sixth in college basketball by averaging 105.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 193rd in college basketball, allowing 91.7 points per 100 possessions.
The Penguins are posting 86.9 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 6.2 more points than they’re averaging on the road (80.7).
Detroit Mercy Stats & Insights
Detroit Mercy’s +46 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 76.9 points per game (59th in college basketball) while allowing 75.5 per outing (326th in college basketball).
Detroit Mercy wins the rebound battle by 3.2 boards on average. It collects 33.7 rebounds per game, 68th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.5.
Detroit Mercy hits 1.9 more threes per contest than the opposition, 10.4 (sixth-most in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.5.
Detroit Mercy’s 98.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 56th in college basketball, and the 96.8 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 316th in college basketball.
The Titans score 79.1 points per game at home, and 74.4 away.
Youngstown State Key Players to Watch
The Penguins leader in points and assists is Dwayne Cohill, who puts up 17.8 points per game to go with 4.9 assists.
Adrian Nelson leads Youngstown State in rebounding, pulling down 9.5 boards per game while also scoring 13.3 points a contest.
Brandon Rush makes more threes per game than any other member of the Penguins, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.3 per contest.
The Youngstown State leader in both steals and blocks is Nelson, who averages 1.5 takeaways and 0.5 rejections per game.
Detroit Mercy Key Players to Watch
Antoine Davis collects 28.4 points and adds 3.7 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Titans’ leaderboards in those statistics.
A.J. Oliver II is at the top of the Detroit Mercy rebounding leaderboard with 4.8 rebounds per game. He also notches 9 points and tacks on 0.7 assists per game.
Davis is the top scorer from the three-point line for the Titans, hitting 4.8 threes per game.
Detroit Mercy’s leader in steals is Davis with 1.2 per game, and its leader in blocks is T.J. Moss with 0.3 per game.
Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Detroit Mercy (+8.5)
- Pick OU:
Youngstown State 80, Detroit Mercy 73
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How to Bet on Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy
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