Texas A&M vs. Alabama Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

March 3, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (26-4, 16-1 SEC) will try to extend a four-game winning streak when they hit the road to take on the No. 24 Texas A&M Aggies (22-8, 14-3 SEC) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Reed Arena as only 2-point underdogs. The game airs at 12:00 PM ET on CBS. The matchup’s over/under is set at 150.

Texas A&M vs. Alabama Odds

Texas A&M odds to win: -132
Alabama odds to win: +112
Spread: Texas A&M (-2)
Total: 150

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
Time: 12:00 PM ET
TV: CBS
Where: College Station, Texas
Venue: Reed Arena

Who Will Win Texas A&M vs. Alabama?

Texas A&M and Alabama Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Texas A&M has a 16-7 record against the spread this season when favored by 2 points or more.

Alabama has a 1-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 2 points or more this season.

Between them, these two teams average 7.1 more points per game (157.1) than this game’s total (150).

Texas A&M and Alabama have seen their opponents average a combined 14.7 fewer points per game than the over/under of 150 set in this game.

The average point total for Texas A&M’s games this year is 10.7 fewer points than the over/under of 150 in this matchup.

The average over/under in Crimson Tide games this season is 3.2 more points than the point total of 150 in this outing.

So far this season, the Aggies have compiled a 20-10-0 record against the spread.

The Crimson Tide have a 17-13-0 record against the spread this year.

Texas A&M Stats & Insights

Texas A&M’s +234 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.5 points per game (135th in college basketball) while allowing 65.7 per outing (62nd in college basketball).

Texas A&M ranks 47th in the nation at 34.2 rebounds per game. That’s 6.2 more than the 28 its opponents average.

The Aggies knock down 6.2 three-pointers per game (299th in college basketball), 1.9 fewer than their opponents (8.1).

Texas A&M scores 96.6 points per 100 possessions (107th in college basketball), while allowing 86.4 points per 100 possessions (58th in college basketball).

Offensively the Aggies have played worse when playing at home this season, averaging 73.5 points per game, compared to 73.7 per game when playing on the road.

Alabama Stats & Insights

Alabama puts up 83.6 points per game (fourth in college basketball) while allowing 69.6 per contest (164th in college basketball). It has a +418 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 14 points per game.

Alabama grabs 40.8 rebounds per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 33.1 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 7.7 boards per game.

Alabama knocks down 10.1 three-pointers per game (10th in college basketball) while shooting 34.5% from deep (174th in college basketball). It is making 4.4 more threes than its opponents, who drain 5.7 per game at 28.5%.

Alabama averages 98.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (68th in college basketball), and concedes 81.8 points per 100 possessions (seventh in college basketball).

The Crimson Tide are putting up more points at home (89.5 per game) than away (74.8).

Texas A&M Key Players to Watch

The leader in points and assists for the Aggies is Wade Taylor IV, who scores 15.9 points and dishes out 4.2 assists per game.

Dexter Dennis leads Texas A&M in rebounding, grabbing 5.7 rebounds per game while also scoring 8.9 points a contest.

Taylor makes more threes per game than any other member of the Aggies, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.3 per contest.

Taylor is Texas A&M’s leader in steals, averaging 1.8 steals per game, while Dennis leads them in blocks with 0.6 per contest.

Alabama Key Players to Watch

Brandon Miller averages 19.6 points per game and is the top scorer for the Crimson Tide.

Noah Clowney puts up a stat line of 8.2 rebounds, 10 points and 0.8 assists per game for Alabama to take the top rebound spot on the team. Jahvon Quinerly has the top spot for assists with 3.7 per game, adding 7.7 points and 1.9 rebounds per outing.

Miller is the most prolific from the three-point line for the Crimson Tide, hitting three threes per game.

Alabama’s leader in steals is Mark Sears (1.3 per game), and its leader in blocks is Charles Bediako (1.6 per game).