Arkansas vs. Kentucky Prediction: Picks & Betting Odds – Saturday, March 4, 2023

March 3, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The Arkansas Razorbacks (19-11, 8-9 SEC) host the No. 23 Kentucky Wildcats (20-10, 11-6 SEC) in a matchup of SEC teams at Bud Walton Arena, beginning at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The Razorbacks are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 141.5.

Arkansas vs. Kentucky Odds

Arkansas odds to win: -224
Kentucky odds to win: +184
Spread: Arkansas (-4.5)
Total: 141.5

Arkansas vs. Kentucky Promo Codes

DRAFTKINGS
Bet $5, Win $150 BONUS BETS
CLAIM NOW!
CAESARS CBB Promo
Get Up To $1,500 in Bet Credits
CLAIM NOW!
FANDUEL CBB Promo
$1000 No Sweat First Bet
CLAIM NOW!
BETMGM CBB Promo
$1K First Bet Offer
CLAIM NOW!

Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
Time: 2:00 PM ET
TV: CBS
Where: Fayetteville, Arkansas
Venue: Bud Walton Arena

Who Will Win Arkansas vs. Kentucky?

Arkansas and Kentucky Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season it was favored by 4.5 points or more, Arkansas has a 9-7-1 record against the spread.

When it has played as at least a 4.5-point underdog this season, Kentucky is 1-2 against the spread.

Between them, these two teams average 7.9 more points per game (149.4) than this matchup’s total (141.5).

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 133.8 points per game, 7.7 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Arkansas’ average point total in matchups this season is 141.2, 0.3 points below the total in this game.

The average total for Wildcats games this year is 0.5 more points than the point total of 141.5 in this outing.

The Razorbacks are 15-14-1 against the spread this season.

The Wildcats are 14-16-0 ATS this season.

Arkansas Stats & Insights

Arkansas outscores opponents by 8.2 points per game (scoring 74.7 per game to rank 110th in college basketball while allowing 66.5 per contest to rank 75th in college basketball) and has a +244 scoring differential overall.

Arkansas is 132nd in college basketball at 32.5 rebounds per game. That’s 3.4 more than the 29.1 its opponents average.

The Razorbacks make 5.1 three-pointers per game (347th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 5.3. They shoot 32.1% from deep while their opponents hit 31% from long range.

Arkansas averages 95.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (129th in college basketball), and allows 85.2 points per 100 possessions (41st in college basketball).

Offensively, the Razorbacks have performed better in home games this season, posting 76.1 points per game, compared to 68.9 per game on the road.

Kentucky Stats & Insights

Kentucky is outscoring opponents by 7.4 points per game, with a +223 scoring differential overall. It puts up 74.7 points per game (110th in college basketball) and gives up 67.3 per contest (98th in college basketball).

Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 9.2 boards on average. It collects 36 rebounds per game, 15th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 26.8.

Kentucky makes 6.5 three-pointers per game (274th in college basketball) at a 36.1% rate (72nd in college basketball), compared to the 6.5 its opponents make, shooting 32.9% from deep.

Kentucky ranks 61st in college basketball averaging 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 107th, allowing 88.7 points per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 the Wildcats are scoring nine more points per game at home (78.4) than away (69.4).

Arkansas Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Razorbacks this season is Ricky Council IV, who averages 16.6 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 2.4 assists per game.

Arkansas’ leading rebounder is Makhi Mitchell averaging 5.7 boards per game and its best passer is Anthony Black and his 4.2 assists per game.

The Razorbacks get the most three-point shooting production out of Davonte Davis, who knocks down 1.3 threes per game.

Black and Makhel Mitchell lead Arkansas on the defensive end, with Black leading the team in steals averaging two per game and Makhel Mitchell in blocks averaging 1.8 per contest.

Kentucky Key Players to Watch

The Wildcats’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Oscar Tshiebwe with 16.5 points and 13.1 rebounds per game.

Cason Wallace records more assists than any other Kentucky player with 4.2 per game. He also scores 11.7 points and pulls down 3.5 rebounds per game.

Antonio Reeves is consistent from three-point range and leads the Wildcats with 2.3 made threes per game.

Kentucky’s leader in steals is Wallace with 1.9 per game, and its leader in blocks is Tshiebwe with one per game.