Baylor vs. Iowa State Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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Baylor vs. Iowa State Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

College Basketball Predictions

The Iowa State Cyclones (17-12, 8-9 Big 12) will look to end a four-game losing streak when they visit the No. 7 Baylor Bears (22-8, 11-6 Big 12) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Ferrell Center as 7.5-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 12:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The matchup has a point total of 136.

Baylor vs. Iowa State Odds

  • Baylor odds to win: -366
  • Iowa State odds to win: +295
  • Spread: Baylor (-7.5)
  • Total: 136

Baylor vs. Iowa State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Where: Waco, Texas
  • Venue: Ferrell Center

Who Will Win Baylor vs. Iowa State?

Baylor and Iowa State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Baylor has a 7-4 record against the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.

Iowa State has a 1-1 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 7.5 points or more this year.

The two teams average a combined 10.3 more points per game, 146.3, than this matchup’s over/under of 136 points.

Baylor and Iowa State have seen their opponents average a combined 3.8 fewer points per game than the over/under of 136 set for this outing.

The average over/under Baylor has had set in matchups this season is 11.9 more points than this outing’s point total.

Cyclones games this season have averaged an over/under of 130.6 points, 5.4 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

So far this season, the Bears have compiled a 16-14-0 record against the spread.

The Cyclones are 14-15-0 against the spread this season.

Baylor Stats & Insights

Baylor averages 78 points per game (42nd in college basketball) while allowing 69.9 per contest (176th in college basketball). It has a +242 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 8.1 points per game.

Baylor comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.5 boards. It is pulling down 31.1 rebounds per game (225th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.6 per contest.

The Bears connect on 9.5 three-pointers per game (19th in college basketball) while shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc (51st in college basketball). They are making 2.7 more threes per contest than their opponents, who drain 6.8 per game while shooting 31.9%.

Baylor ranks 27th in college basketball with 100.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 141st in college basketball defensively with 90.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In home games, the Bears are putting up 12.7 more points per game (83.8) than they are when playing on the road (71.1).

Iowa State Stats & Insights

Iowa State has a +174 scoring differential, topping opponents by six points per game. It is putting up 68.3 points per game, 269th in college basketball, and is allowing 62.3 per contest to rank 20th in college basketball.

The 30.1 rebounds per game Iowa State accumulates rank 274th in the country, 1.8 more than the 28.3 its opponents collect.

Iowa State hits 6.6 three-pointers per game (265th in college basketball) at a 33.5% rate (227th in college basketball), compared to the 7.4 its opponents make, shooting 33.1% from deep.

Iowa State averages 92.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (221st in college basketball), and allows 84.1 points per 100 possessions (28th in college basketball).

At home the Cyclones are scoring 72 points per game, 9.5 more than they are averaging away (62.5).

Baylor Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Bears this season is Keyonte George, who averages 16.3 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game.

Baylor’s leading rebounder is Jalen Bridges averaging 5.8 boards per game and its best passer is Adam Flagler and his 4.9 assists per game.

LJ Cryer leads the Bears in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.6 shots per game from beyond the arc.

The Baylor steals leader is Dale Bonner, who averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Brides, who compiles 1.1 rejections per contest.

Iowa State Key Players to Watch

Jaren Holmes scores 13.1 points per game and is the top scorer for the Cyclones.

Iowa State’s leader in rebounds is Osun Osunniyi with 4.1 per game, and its leader in assists is Tamin Lipsey with 4.6 per game.

Gabe Kalscheur is the top shooter from the three-point line for the Cyclones, hitting 2.1 threes per game.

Iowa State’s leader in steals is Lipsey with 2.1 per game, and its leader in blocks is Osunniyi with 1.1 per game.

Baylor vs. Iowa State Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    Iowa State (+7.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (136)

  • Prediction:
    Baylor 73, Iowa State 67
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How to Bet on Baylor vs. Iowa State

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

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Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.