Drake vs. Murray State MVC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023
The Drake Bulldogs (24-7, 15-5 MVC) take on the Murray State Racers (17-14, 11-9 MVC) as 11-point favorites in the MVC Tournament Friday at Enterprise Center, starting at 7:00 PM on ESPN+. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s point total is set at 141.
Drake vs. Murray State Odds
- Drake odds to win: -658
- Murray State odds to win: +460
- Spread: Drake (-11)
- Total: 141
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 3, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: St. Louis, Missouri
- Venue: Enterprise Center
Who Will Win Drake vs. Murray State?
Drake and Murray State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Drake has a 3-6 record against the spread in games it was favored by 11 points or more this season.
Murray State has a 1-2 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 11 points or more this year.
These two teams average a combined 146.3 points per game, 5.3 more points than the total of 141 set for this game.
Drake and Murray State have seen their opponents average a combined 4.2 fewer points per game than the over/under of 141 set for this matchup.
The average total Drake has had set in matchups this year is 0.6 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for the Racers this year is 1.7 points higher than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, the Bulldogs have compiled a 13-16-1 record against the spread.
The Racers are 13-16-1 against the spread this season.
Drake Stats & Insights
Drake is outscoring opponents by 10.8 points per game with a +337 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.6 points per game (88th in college basketball) and allows 64.8 per outing (39th in college basketball).
Drake is 77th in the nation at 33.6 rebounds per game. That’s 3.8 more than the 29.8 its opponents average.
The Bulldogs connect on 8.1 three-pointers per game (98th in college basketball) at a 36.8% rate (51st in college basketball), compared to the 6.9 per game their opponents make at a 31% rate.
Drake ranks 30th in college basketball by averaging 100.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 53rd in college basketball, allowing 86 points per 100 possessions.
When playing at home, the Bulldogs are averaging 7.8 more points per game (80.3) than they are when playing on the road (72.5).
Murray State Stats & Insights
Murray State has a -39 scoring differential, falling short by 1.3 points per game. It is putting up 70.7 points per game, 202nd in college basketball, and is giving up 72 per contest to rank 241st in college basketball.
Murray State records 31.2 rebounds per game (217th in college basketball), compared to the 31.6 of its opponents.
Murray State hits 2.0 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 6.3 (296th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.3.
Murray State ranks 187th in college basketball with 93.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 284th defensively with 95.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Racers are scoring more points at home (73.6 per game) than on the road (65.9).
Drake Key Players to Watch
The scoring leader for the Bulldogs this season is Tucker DeVries, who averages 18.9 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game.
Drake’s leading rebounder is Darnell Brodie averaging 7.1 boards per game and its best passer is Roman Penn and his 5.3 assists per game.
The Bulldogs get the most three-point shooting production out of DeVries, who knocks down 2.6 threes per game.
DeVries and Brodie lead Drake on the defensive end, with DeVries leading the team in steals averaging 1.1 per game and Brodie in blocks averaging 0.9 per contest.
Murray State Key Players to Watch
Rob Perry averages 14.1 points per game to be the top scorer for the Racers.
Murray State’s leader in rebounds is Damiree Burns with 6.7 per game, and its leader in assists is Jacobi Wood with 4.7 per game.
Perry knocks down 1.8 three-pointers per game, the most on the Racers.
Murray State’s leader in steals is Wood (1.5 per game), and its leader in blocks is Kenny White Jr. (0.8 per game).
Drake vs. Murray State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Murray State (+11)
- Pick OU:
Over (141)
- Prediction:
Drake 76, Murray State 65
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How to Bet on Drake vs. Murray State
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