Indiana State vs. Belmont MVC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023
The Indiana State Sycamores (21-11, 13-7 MVC) and the Belmont Bruins (21-10, 14-6 MVC) meet in the MVC Tournament Friday at Enterprise Center, tipping off at 3:30 PM on ESPN+. Indiana State is favored by 2.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is set at 153.5 in the matchup.
Indiana State vs. Belmont Odds
- Indiana State odds to win: -144
- Belmont odds to win: +121
- Spread: Indiana State (-2.5)
- Total: 153.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 3, 2023
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: St. Louis, Missouri
- Venue: Enterprise Center
Who Will Win Indiana State vs. Belmont?
Indiana State and Belmont Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games it has played as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, Indiana State is 16-9 against the spread.
Belmont has a 3-3 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.
The two teams average a combined 1.8 more points per game, 155.3, than this matchup’s total of 153.5 points.
Indiana State and Belmont have seen their opponents average a combined 13.8 fewer points per game than the point total of 153.5 set in this game.
The average total Indiana State has had set in games this year is 5.7 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for the Bruins this year is 6.4 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
The Sycamores are 20-11-0 against the spread this season.
The Bruins have a 15-13-2 record against the spread this year.
Indiana State Stats & Insights
Indiana State has a +342 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.7 points per game. It is putting up 79.3 points per game to rank 27th in college basketball and is giving up 68.6 per contest to rank 132nd in college basketball.
Indiana State pulls down 31.6 rebounds per game (185th in college basketball) while conceding 30.2 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 1.4 boards per game.
The Sycamores make 9.3 three-pointers per game (25th in college basketball), 2.7 more than their opponents (6.6). They are shooting 34.7% from beyond the arc (161st in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32%.
Indiana State’s 102.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 11th in college basketball, and the 88.7 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 108th in college basketball.
The Sycamores are putting up 80.3 points per game when playing at home. In away games, they are averaging 77.7 points per contest.
Belmont Stats & Insights
Belmont is outscoring opponents by 4.9 points per game, with a +151 scoring differential overall. It puts up 76 points per game (80th in college basketball) and gives up 71.1 per outing (211th in college basketball).
Belmont is 270th in the country at 30.2 rebounds per game. That’s 1.9 fewer than the 32.1 its opponents average.
Belmont hits 9.5 three-pointers per game (19th in college basketball) at a 38.6% rate (13th in college basketball), compared to the 6.9 per game its opponents make, at a 34.7% rate.
Belmont averages 98.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (54th in college basketball), and concedes 92.4 points per 100 possessions (207th in college basketball).
The Bruins are scoring more points at home (79.2 per game) than away (71.7).
Indiana State Key Players to Watch
Courvoisier McCauley leads the Sycamores in scoring and rebounding, putting up 15.9 points and 5.5 boards per game.
Cameron Henry leads Indiana State in assists, averaging 3.7 per game while also scoring 10 points per contest.
The Sycamores get the most three-point shooting production out of McCauley, who makes 3.1 threes per game.
Henry is a standout on the defensive end for Indiana State, leading the team in steals with 1.4 per game and blocks with 0.4 per contest.
Belmont Key Players to Watch
Ben Sheppard is at the top of the Bruins scoring leaderboard with 18.8 points per game. He also pulls down 5.2 rebounds and dishes out three assists per game.
Belmont’s leader in rebounds is Even Brauns with 5.4 per game, and its leader in assists is Keishawn Davidson with 4.4 per game.
Drew Friberg is consistent from three-point range and leads the Bruins with 3.1 made threes per game.
Belmont’s leader in steals is Ja’Kobi Gillespie with 1.5 per game, and its leader in blocks is Brauns with 1.4 per game.
Indiana State vs. Belmont Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Indiana State (-2.5)
- Pick OU:
Indiana State 76, Belmont 72
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