Miami vs. Pittsburgh Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

March 3, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The No. 16 Miami Hurricanes (23-6, 14-5 ACC) are at home in ACC play against the No. 25 Pittsburgh Panthers (21-9, 14-5 ACC) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET. The Hurricanes are favored by 7.5 points in the game. The matchup’s over/under is 154.5.

Miami vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Miami odds to win: -316
Pittsburgh odds to win: +253
Spread: Miami (-7.5)
Total: 154.5

Miami vs. Pittsburgh Promo Codes

DRAFTKINGS
Bet $5, Win $150 BONUS BETS
CLAIM NOW!
CAESARS CBB Promo
Get Up To $1,500 in Bet Credits
CLAIM NOW!
FANDUEL CBB Promo
$1000 No Sweat First Bet
CLAIM NOW!
BETMGM CBB Promo
$1K First Bet Offer
CLAIM NOW!

Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
Time: 6:00 PM ET
TV: ACC Network
Where: Coral Gables, Florida
Venue: Watsco Center

Who Will Win Miami vs. Pittsburgh?

Miami and Pittsburgh Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Miami has a 3-8 record against the spread in games it was favored by 7.5 points or more this season.

In games it has played as at least a 7.5-point underdog this year, Pittsburgh is 3-1 against the spread.

These two teams average a combined 155.6 points per game, 1.1 more points than the over/under of 154.5 set for this matchup.

Miami and Pittsburgh have seen their opponents average a combined 13.9 fewer points per game than the point total of 154.5 set for this outing.

Miami’s average point total in outings this season is 151.2, 3.3 points less than the total in this game.

The average total for Panthers games this season is 9.5 fewer points than the point total of 154.5 for this outing.

The Hurricanes have an 18-11-0 record against the spread this season.

The Panthers are 20-10-0 against the spread this season.

Miami Stats & Insights

Miami outscores opponents by 8.1 points per game (scoring 79.7 per game to rank 24th in college basketball while allowing 71.6 per contest to rank 227th in college basketball) and has a +236 scoring differential overall.

Miami wins the rebound battle by 2.7 boards on average. It records 31.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 168th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 29.2 per contest.

The Hurricanes connect on 7.6 three-pointers per game (161st in college basketball) at a 36.9% rate (47th in college basketball), compared to the 7.3 their opponents make while shooting 32.7% from beyond the arc.

Miami ranks 14th in college basketball with 102.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 190th in college basketball defensively with 91.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Hurricanes are posting 83.8 points per game in home games. On the road, they are averaging 75.2 points per contest.

Pittsburgh Stats & Insights

Pittsburgh’s +207 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.9 points per game (82nd in college basketball) while allowing 69 per contest (143rd in college basketball).

The 34.1 rebounds per game Pittsburgh accumulates rank 51st in the nation, three more than the 31.1 its opponents grab.

Pittsburgh makes 9.4 three-pointers per game (24th in college basketball) at a 35.8% rate (89th in college basketball), compared to the 7.7 per game its opponents make, at a 32.8% rate.

Pittsburgh averages 98.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (52nd in college basketball), and gives up 89.9 points per 100 possessions (133rd in college basketball).

The Panthers are scoring more points at home (77.8 per game) than away (75.4).

Miami Key Players to Watch

The leader in points and assists for the Hurricanes is Isaiah Wong, who scores 16.2 points and dishes out 3.4 assists per game.

Norchad Omier leads Miami in rebounding, grabbing 9.9 boards per game while also scoring 14 points a contest.

Nijel Pack makes more threes per game than any other member of the Hurricanes, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.5 per contest.

Jordan Miller and Omier lead Miami on the defensive end, with Miller leading the team in steals averaging 1.4 per game and Omier in blocks averaging 1.3 per contest.

Pittsburgh Key Players to Watch

Blake Hinson sits atop the Panthers leaderboards for both scoring and rebounding with 15.8 points and 6.4 rebounds per game.

Nelly Cummings notches more assists than any other Pittsburgh teammate with 4.8 per game. He also averages 11.3 points and grabs 2.8 rebounds per game.

Hinson is reliable from distance and leads the Panthers with 2.7 made threes per game.

Pittsburgh’s leader in steals is Jamarius Burton (0.9 per game), and its leader in blocks is Fede Federiko (1.8 per game).