Michigan State vs. Ohio State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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Michigan State vs. Ohio State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

College Basketball Predictions

The Michigan State Spartans (18-11, 10-8 Big Ten) host the Ohio State Buckeyes (13-17, 5-14 Big Ten) after winning four home games in a row. The Spartans are favored by 6.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The matchup has an over/under of 138.5 points.

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Odds

  • Michigan State odds to win: -288
  • Ohio State odds to win: +233
  • Spread: Michigan State (-6.5)
  • Total: 138.5

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Where: East Lansing, Michigan
  • Venue: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Who Will Win Michigan State vs. Ohio State?

Michigan State and Ohio State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Michigan State has a 3-4 record against the spread this season when favored by 6.5 points or more.

Ohio State is 0-2 against the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or greater this year.

The Spartans and the Buckeyes combine to average 4.6 more points per game than the total of 138.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 135.9 points per game, 2.6 fewer than the over/under in this game.

The average total Michigan State has had set in games this year is 1.3 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for the Buckeyes this season is 3.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Spartans are 15-14-0 ATS this season.

The Buckeyes are 10-20-0 against the spread this year.

Michigan State Stats & Insights

Michigan State averages 70.2 points per game (209th in college basketball) while allowing 67 per contest (91st in college basketball). It has a +92 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 3.2 points per game.

Michigan State wins the rebound battle by two boards on average. It records 32.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 140th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.4 per outing.

The Spartans knock down 7.5 three-pointers per game (174th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.7. They shoot 39.4% from deep while their opponents hit 30.4% from long range.

Michigan State ranks 151st in college basketball with 94.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 154th in college basketball defensively with 90.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Offensively, the Spartans have played better at home this season, scoring 69.6 points per game, compared to 69 per game away from home.

Ohio State Stats & Insights

Ohio State outscores opponents by four points per game (posting 72.9 points per game, 151st in college basketball, and conceding 68.9 per outing, 139th in college basketball) and has a +122 scoring differential.

Ohio State ranks 68th in the nation at 33.7 rebounds per game. That’s 3.5 more than the 30.2 its opponents average.

Ohio State connects on 6.5 three-pointers per game (274th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7 on average.

Ohio State ranks 117th in college basketball averaging 96.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 160th, allowing 90.8 points per 100 possessions.

At home, the Buckeyes average 74.7 points per game. Away, they average 67.1.

Michigan State Key Players to Watch

Tyson Walker leads the Spartans in scoring, tallying 14.8 points per game to go with 2.5 rebounds and 2.7 assists.

Michigan State’s leading rebounder is Joey Hauser averaging seven boards per game and its best passer is A.J Hoggard and his 6.1 assists per game.

Hauser makes more threes per game than any other member of the Spartans, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.2 per contest.

Walker and Mady Sissoko lead Michigan State on the defensive end, with Walker leading the team in steals averaging 1.2 per game and Sissoko in blocks averaging 0.8 per contest.

Ohio State Key Players to Watch

Brice Sensabaugh is the top scorer for the Buckeyes with 16.4 points per game. He also tacks on 5.2 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game to his scoring output.

The Ohio State leaders in rebounding and assists are Zed Key with 7.5 rebounds per game (he also adds 10.8 points and 0.8 assists per game) and Isaac Likekele with 2.8 assists per game (he also tacks on 4 points and 4.4 rebounds per game).

Sensabaugh is reliable from deep and leads the Buckeyes with 1.9 made threes per game.

Ohio State’s leader in steals is Bruce Thornton with 0.8 per game, and its leader in blocks is Felix Okpara with 1.1 per game.

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    Ohio State (+6.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (138.5)

  • Prediction:
    Michigan State 73, Ohio State 67
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How to Bet on Michigan State vs. Ohio State

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

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Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.