Morehead State vs. Southeast Missouri State OVC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023
The Morehead State Eagles (21-10, 14-4 OVC) are favored by 4 points in the OVC Tournament against the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (17-16, 10-8 OVC) on Friday at Ford Center, beginning at 8:00 PM on ESPNU. The matchup has a point total of 141.5.
Morehead State vs. Southeast Missouri State Odds
- Morehead State odds to win: -192
- Southeast Missouri State odds to win: +160
- Spread: Morehead State (-4)
- Total: 141.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 3, 2023
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPNU
- Where: Evansville, Indiana
- Venue: Ford Center
Who Will Win Morehead State vs. Southeast Missouri State?
Morehead State and Southeast Missouri State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Morehead State has a 7-3 record against the spread in games it was favored by 4 points or more this season.
In games it has played as at least a 4-point underdog this year, Southeast Missouri State is 5-3-1 against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 6.8 more points per game (148.3) than this game’s total of 141.5 points.
Morehead State and Southeast Missouri State have seen its opponents average a combined 1.3 more points per game than the point total of 141.5 set for this game.
Morehead State’s average point total in outings this season is 137.1, 4.4 points less than the over/under in this game.
The average over/under for Redhawks games this year is 12.5 more points than the point total of 141.5 for this outing.
The Eagles are 17-11-0 against the spread this season.
The Redhawks are 17-13-1 against the spread this year.
Morehead State Stats & Insights
Morehead State is outscoring opponents by 4.1 points per game with a +129 scoring differential overall. It puts up 70.6 points per game (205th in college basketball) and gives up 66.5 per outing (74th in college basketball).
Morehead State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 3.7 boards. It is grabbing 32.5 rebounds per game (133rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.8 per outing.
The Eagles make 7.4 three-pointers per game (188th in college basketball) while shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc (94th in college basketball). They are making 1.7 more threes per contest than their opponents, who drain 5.7 per game while shooting 32.1%.
Morehead State’s 95.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 138th in college basketball, and the 89.7 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 128th in college basketball.
Offensively, the Eagles have performed better at home this year, scoring 77.3 points per game, compared to 63.5 per game in road games.
Southeast Missouri State Stats & Insights
Southeast Missouri State outscores opponents by 1.4 points per game (posting 77.7 points per game, 47th in college basketball, and conceding 76.3 per contest, 332nd in college basketball) and has a +45 scoring differential.
Southeast Missouri State is 155th in college basketball at 32.2 rebounds per game. That’s 1.6 fewer than the 33.8 its opponents average.
Southeast Missouri State connects on 8 three-pointers per game (110th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.2. It shoots 32.7% from deep, and its opponents shoot 34.8%.
Southeast Missouri State averages 94.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (173rd in college basketball), and concedes 92.6 points per 100 possessions (217th in college basketball).
At home the Redhawks are putting up 79.9 points per game, 3.9 more than they are averaging on the road (76).
Morehead State Key Players to Watch
The leader in points and assists for the Eagles is Mark Freeman, who scores 14.8 points and distributes 3.8 assists per game.
Alex Gross is Morehead State’s best rebounder, grabbing an average of 7.5 boards in each contest while scoring 12.1 points per game.
Kalil Thomas makes more threes per game than any other member of the Eagles, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.9 per contest.
The Morehead State steals leader is Freeman, who averages 1.2 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Gross, who compiles 2.1 rejections per contest.
Southeast Missouri State Key Players to Watch
Phillip Russell’s points (18.2 per game) and assists (5.1 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Redhawks’ leaderboards.
Josh Earley’s stat line of 4.9 rebounds, 7.9 points and 0.1 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Southeast Missouri State rebounding leaderboard.
Russell hits 2.4 three-pointers per game, the most on the Redhawks.
Southeast Missouri State’s leader in steals is Aquan Smart with 1.6 per game, and its leader in blocks is Nate Johnson with 0.9 per game.
Morehead State vs. Southeast Missouri State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Southeast Missouri State (+4)
- Pick OU:
Morehead State 73, Southeast Missouri State 72
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