North Texas vs. Western Kentucky Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023
The North Texas Mean Green (24-6, 15-4 C-USA) are favored (by 8.5 points) to continue a five-game home winning streak when they host the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (16-14, 8-11 C-USA) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 3:00 PM ET. The matchup has a point total of 125.
North Texas vs. Western Kentucky Odds
- North Texas odds to win: -413
- Western Kentucky odds to win: +316
- Spread: North Texas (-8.5)
- Total: 125
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- TV: STADIUM
- Where: Denton, Texas
- Venue: UNT Coliseum
Who Will Win North Texas vs. Western Kentucky?
North Texas and Western Kentucky Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When it has played as at least 8.5-point favorites this season, North Texas is 3-7 against the spread.
Western Kentucky is a perfect 2-0 against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year.
These teams average 136.9 points per game combined, 11.9 more than the total of 125.
North Texas and Western Kentucky have seen its opponents average a combined 1.8 more points per game than the point total of 125 set in this outing.
The average point total for North Texas’ games this year is 5.2 fewer points than the total of 125 in this matchup.
The average over/under for Hilltoppers games this season is 19 more points than the point total of 125 for this outing.
The Mean Green are 15-12-1 against the spread this season.
The Hilltoppers are 12-15-1 against the spread this year.
North Texas Stats & Insights
North Texas has a +225 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.5 points per game. It is putting up 63.6 points per game to rank 342nd in college basketball and is allowing 56.1 per contest to rank first in college basketball.
North Texas wins the rebound battle by 4.7 boards on average. It records 30.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 269th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 25.5 per contest.
The Mean Green connect on 7.1 three-pointers per game (215th in college basketball), two more than their opponents (5.1).
North Texas ranks 143rd in college basketball with 95.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 23rd in college basketball defensively with 83.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Mean Green are averaging 64.5 points per game this season in home games, which is 1.1 more points than they’re averaging in away games (63.4).
Western Kentucky Stats & Insights
Western Kentucky outscores opponents by 2.6 points per game (posting 73.3 points per game, 139th in college basketball, and conceding 70.7 per outing, 200th in college basketball) and has a +77 scoring differential.
Western Kentucky loses the rebound battle by 1.7 boards on average. It collects 31 rebounds per game, 231st in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.7.
Western Kentucky hits 7.8 three-pointers per game (134th in college basketball) at a 36.8% rate (51st in college basketball), compared to the 9.4 per outing its opponents make, shooting 36.4% from deep.
Western Kentucky averages 94.3 points per 100 possessions (171st in college basketball), while conceding 91 points per 100 possessions (167th in college basketball).
At home the Hilltoppers are putting up 77.1 points per game, 6.6 more than they are averaging away (70.5).
North Texas Key Players to Watch
Tylor Perry leads the Mean Green in scoring, tallying 16.9 points per game to go with 3.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
North Texas’ leading rebounder is Abou Ousmane averaging 6.1 boards per game and its best passer is Kai Huntsberry and his 2.9 assists per game.
Perry makes more threes per game than any other member of the Mean Green, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of three per contest.
Rubin Jones is North Texas’ leader in steals, averaging 1.4 steals per game, while Ousmane leads them in blocks with 1.4 per contest.
Western Kentucky Key Players to Watch
The Hilltoppers’ Dayvion McKnight averages enough points (17 per game) and assists (3.9 per game) to top the team’s leaderboards.
Jamarion Sharp’s stat line of 7.4 rebounds, 7.3 points and 0.2 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Western Kentucky rebounding leaderboard.
Dontaie Allen is the top shooter from distance for the Hilltoppers, hitting 1.8 threes per game.
Western Kentucky’s leader in steals is McKnight with 1.7 per game, and its leader in blocks is Sharp with 4.4 per game.
North Texas vs. Western Kentucky Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
North Texas 70, Western Kentucky 62
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How to Bet on North Texas vs. Western Kentucky
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