Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State MVC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023
The Southern Illinois Salukis (22-9, 14-6 MVC) and the Missouri State Bears (17-14, 12-8 MVC) will look to advance in the MVC tournament on Friday as they meet in the conference tournament at 9:30 PM on ESPN+. Southern Illinois is listed as a 3-point favorite to win this contest and advance closer to an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has a point total of 121.5.
Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State Odds
- Southern Illinois odds to win: -157
- Missouri State odds to win: +134
- Spread: Southern Illinois (-3)
- Total: 121.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 3, 2023
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: St. Louis, Missouri
- Venue: Enterprise Center
Who Will Win Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State?
Southern Illinois and Missouri State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When it has played as at least 3-point favorites this season, Southern Illinois is 7-11-1 against the spread.
Missouri State has a 6-4 record against the spread when an underdog by 3 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 11.0 more points per game, 132.5, than this game’s total of 121.5 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.6 more points per game (125.1) than this matchup’s over/under of 121.5 points.
The average over/under Southern Illinois has had set in matchups this season is 6.7 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under for Bears games this year is 8.0 more points than the point total of 121.5 for this outing.
The Salukis have gone 12-17-1 ATS this season.
The Bears’ ATS record is 15-15-0 this season.
Southern Illinois Stats & Insights
Southern Illinois averages 66.5 points per game (312th in college basketball) while giving up 61.6 per contest (14th in college basketball). It has a +153 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 4.9 points per game.
The 29.0 rebounds per game Southern Illinois averages rank 314th in the country. Its opponents collect 29.7 per contest.
The Salukis hit 1.8 more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.0 (110th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.2.
Southern Illinois averages 93.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (198th in college basketball), and gives up 86.4 points per 100 possessions (58th in college basketball).
When playing at home, the Salukis are putting up 6.1 more points per game (70.2) than they are when playing on the road (64.1).
Missouri State Stats & Insights
Missouri State puts up 66.0 points per game (321st in college basketball) while giving up 63.5 per outing (29th in college basketball). It has a +80 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 2.5 points per game.
Missouri State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 3.9 boards. It collects 32.4 rebounds per game (140th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.5.
Missouri State connects on 8.1 three-pointers per game (98th in college basketball) at a 33.4% rate (233rd in college basketball), compared to the 6.7 per game its opponents make, at a 32.5% rate.
Missouri State ranks 234th in college basketball averaging 91.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 86th, allowing 88.1 points per 100 possessions.
At home, the Bears score 67.5 points per game. On the road, they score 64.2.
Southern Illinois Key Players to Watch
The leader in scoring, rebounding and assists for the Salukis is Marcus Domask, who tallies 17.0 points, 5.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game.
Lance Jones leads the Salukis in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.
The Southern Illinois steals leader is Jones, who averages 1.7 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is J.D. Muila, who compiles 0.5 rejections per contest.
Missouri State Key Players to Watch
The Bears’ Donovan Clay puts up enough points (11.7 per game) and assists (3.6 per game) to top the team’s leaderboards.
Jonathan Mogbo’s stat line of 7.0 rebounds, 8.2 points and 1.5 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Missouri State rebounding leaderboard.
Kendle Moore is the top scorer from the three-point line for the Bears, hitting 1.6 threes per game.
Missouri State’s leader in steals and blocks is Mogbo with 1.3 steals and 1.2 blocks per game.
Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Missouri State (+3)
- Pick OU:
Southern Illinois 65, Missouri State 64
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How to Bet on Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State
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