Auburn vs. Tennessee Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

March 3, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The No. 12 Tennessee Volunteers (22-8, 11-6 SEC) visit the Auburn Tigers (19-11, 9-8 SEC) after losing four straight road games. The Tigers are favored by just 2.5 points in the contest, which starts at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The matchup’s over/under is set at 130.

Auburn vs. Tennessee Odds

Auburn odds to win: -148
Tennessee odds to win: +126
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
Total: 130

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
Time: 2:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN
Where: Auburn, Alabama
Venue: Neville Arena

Who Will Win Auburn vs. Tennessee?

Auburn and Tennessee Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Auburn has a 10-11 record against the spread in games it was favored by 2.5 points or more this season.

Tennessee is 0-2 against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or greater this year.

The Tigers and the Volunteers combine to average 14.4 more points per game than the over/under of 130 set for this matchup.

Auburn and Tennessee have seen their opponents average a combined 6.6 fewer points per game than the point total of 130 set for this matchup.

The average point total for Auburn’s games this season is 9.2 more points than the total of 130 in this matchup.

Volunteers games this season have averaged an over/under of 128.7 points, 1.3 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

The Tigers have gone 14-16-0 ATS this season.

The Volunteers have a 16-14-0 record against the spread this season.

Auburn Stats & Insights

Auburn is outscoring opponents by 5.8 points per game with a +175 scoring differential overall. It puts up 72.5 points per game (162nd in college basketball) and allows 66.7 per outing (80th in college basketball).

Auburn is 82nd in the nation at 33.5 rebounds per game. That’s 1.8 more than the 31.7 its opponents average.

The Tigers hit 6.5 three-pointers per game (274th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 5.6 on average.

Auburn averages 92.1 points per 100 possessions (224th in college basketball), while allowing 84.7 points per 100 possessions (33rd in college basketball).

The Tigers average 74.9 points per game at home, compared to 70.9 points per game in road games, a difference of four points per contest.

Tennessee Stats & Insights

Tennessee’s +456 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.2 points per game) is a result of putting up 71.9 points per game (176th in college basketball) while giving up 56.7 per outing (third in college basketball).

Tennessee wins the rebound battle by 7.3 boards on average. It collects 36.2 rebounds per game, 11th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 28.9.

Tennessee connects on 2.1 more threes per contest than the opposition, 7.6 (160th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.5.

Tennessee’s 94.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 167th in college basketball, and the 74.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank first in college basketball.

The Volunteers average 76.7 points per game at home, and 66.8 away.

Auburn Key Players to Watch

The scoring and rebounding leader for the Tigers is Johni Broome, who accumulates 13.9 points and 8.4 rebounds per game.

Auburn’s best passer is Wendell Green Jr., who averages 4.2 assists per game to go with his 13.6 PPG scoring average.

Jaylin Williams makes more threes per game than any other member of the Tigers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.3 per contest.

Green is Auburn’s leader in steals, averaging 1.7 steals per game, while Broome leads them in blocks with 2.3 per contest.

Tennessee Key Players to Watch

Santiago Vescovi is the top scorer for the Volunteers with 12.4 points per game. He also adds 4.6 rebounds and three assists per game to his scoring output.

The Tennessee leaders in rebounding and assists are Olivier Nkamhoua with 5.1 rebounds per game (he also adds 10.7 points and 1.9 assists per game) and Zakai Zeigler with 5.4 assists per game (he also tacks on 10.7 points and 2.7 rebounds per game).

Vescovi is the most prolific from the three-point line for the Volunteers, hitting 2.6 threes per game.

Tennessee’s leader in steals is Vescovi with two per game, and its leader in blocks is Jonas Aidoo with 1.2 per game.