Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

March 3, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (16-14, 7-10 Big 12) are 5-point underdogs as they attempt to turn around a five-game losing streak when they visit the Texas Tech Red Raiders (16-14, 5-12 Big 12) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at United Supermarkets Arena. The contest airs at 6:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under of 138.5 points.

Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Odds

Texas Tech odds to win: -227
Oklahoma State odds to win: +187
Spread: Texas Tech (-5)
Total: 138.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
Time: 6:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN2
Where: Lubbock, Texas
Venue: United Supermarkets Arena

Who Will Win Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State?

Texas Tech and Oklahoma State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Texas Tech is 5-6 against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.

When it has played as at least a 5-point underdog this season, Oklahoma State is 2-6 against the spread.

The Red Raiders and the Cowboys combine to average 4.9 more points per game than the over/under of 138.5 set for this matchup.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.1 fewer points per game (135.4) than this matchup’s over/under of 138.5 points.

The average point total in Texas Tech’s games this year is four more points than the total of 138.5 in this matchup.

Cowboys games this year have averaged an over/under of 136.2 points, 2.3 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

The Red Raiders’ ATS record is 15-15-0 this season.

The Cowboys have a 14-16-0 record against the spread this season.

Texas Tech Stats & Insights

Texas Tech’s +158 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.9 points per game (126th in college basketball) while giving up 68.6 per outing (132nd in college basketball).

The 32.6 rebounds per game Texas Tech averages rank 126th in college basketball, and are 3.3 more than the 29.3 its opponents pull down per contest.

The Red Raiders make 7 three-pointers per game (222nd in college basketball), while their opponents have made 8 on average.

Texas Tech ranks 147th in college basketball with 95 points scored per 100 possessions, and 90th in college basketball defensively with 88.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In home games, the Red Raiders are scoring 11.9 more points per game (77.9) than they are when playing on the road (66).

Oklahoma State Stats & Insights

Oklahoma State has a +81 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.7 points per game. It is putting up 69.5 points per game, 235th in college basketball, and is giving up 66.8 per contest to rank 82nd in college basketball.

The 33 rebounds per game Oklahoma State accumulates rank 108th in the nation, 3.2 more than the 29.8 its opponents pull down.

Oklahoma State connects on 6.9 three-pointers per game (234th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.7. It shoots 31.6% from deep, and its opponents shoot 31.3%.

Oklahoma State ranks 275th in college basketball with 89.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 58th defensively with 86.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Cowboys are putting up more points at home (70.8 per game) than away (68).

Texas Tech Key Players to Watch

The scoring and rebounding leader for the Red Raiders is Kevin Obanor, who accumulates 14.7 points and 6.4 rebounds per game.

Texas Tech’s best passer is De’Vion Harmon, who averages 3.5 assists per game to go with his 13.7 PPG scoring average.

The Red Raiders get the most three-point shooting production out of Pop Isaacs, who makes 2.4 threes per game.

Harmon and Obanor lead Texas Tech on the defensive end, with Harmon leading the team in steals averaging 1.7 per game and Obanor in blocks averaging 0.3 per contest.

Oklahoma State Key Players to Watch

Kalib Boone is the top scorer for the Cowboys with 11.8 points per game. He also adds 5.1 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game to his statistics.

The Oklahoma State leaders in rebounding and assists are Moussa Cisse with 7.9 rebounds per game (he also adds 6.5 points and 0.5 assists per game) and Avery Anderson III with 3.4 assists per game (he also tacks on 11.1 points and 3.5 rebounds per game).

John-Michael Wright hits two three-pointers per game, the most on the Cowboys.

Anderson (1.5 steals per game) is the steal leader for Oklahoma State while Cisse (two blocks per game) is the block leader.