UCLA vs. Arizona Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

March 3, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The No. 4 UCLA Bruins (26-4, 17-2 Pac-12) are favored (-5) to build on a nine-game winning streak when they host the No. 8 Arizona Wildcats (25-5, 14-5 Pac-12) at 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Pauley Pavilion. The matchup airs on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 148.5 points.

UCLA vs. Arizona Odds

UCLA odds to win: -227
Arizona odds to win: +188
Spread: UCLA (-5)
Total: 148.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
Time: 10:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN
Where: Los Angeles, California
Venue: Pauley Pavilion

Who Will Win UCLA vs. Arizona?

UCLA and Arizona Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season it was favored by 5 points or more, UCLA has a 13-9-1 record against the spread.

These teams average a combined 157.4 points per game, 8.9 more points than the total of 148.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 131.3 points per game, 17.2 fewer than the over/under in this game.

The average over/under UCLA has had set in games this year is 14.9 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for the Wildcats this season is 6.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Bruins are 16-13-1 ATS this season.

The Wildcats have a 14-15-1 record against the spread this season.

UCLA Stats & Insights

UCLA is outscoring opponents by 14.2 points per game with a +426 scoring differential overall. It puts up 73.9 points per game (126th in college basketball) and gives up 59.7 per contest (sixth in college basketball).

The 32.7 rebounds per game UCLA averages rank 118th in the country, and are 4.0 more than the 28.7 its opponents record per outing.

The Bruins knock down 6.1 three-pointers per game (310th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.5. They shoot 35.2% from deep while their opponents hit 30.9% from long range.

UCLA ranks 85th in college basketball with 97.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and fourth in college basketball defensively with 78.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In home games, the Bruins are scoring 7.8 more points per game (77.6) than they are away from home (69.8).

Arizona Stats & Insights

Arizona outscores opponents by 11.9 points per game (posting 83.5 points per game, fourth in college basketball, and allowing 71.6 per contest, 227th in college basketball) and has a +357 scoring differential.

Arizona ranks 10th in the nation at 36.5 rebounds per game. That’s 6.0 more than the 30.5 its opponents average.

Arizona connects on 8.6 three-pointers per game (57th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.1. It shoots 37.7% from deep, and its opponents shoot 33.0%.

Arizona ranks 15th in college basketball averaging 102.0 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 73rd, allowing 87.5 points per 100 possessions.

At home, the Wildcats average 85.2 points per game. On the road, they average 77.6.

UCLA Key Players to Watch

The scoring and rebounding leader for the Bruins is Jaime Jaquez Jr., who accumulates 17.3 points and 7.9 rebounds per game.

Tyger Campbell is UCLA’s best passer, dispensing 4.6 assists per game while scoring 12.7 PPG.

The Bruins get the most three-point shooting production out of David Singleton, who knocks down 1.9 threes per game.

The UCLA steals leader is Jaylen Clark, who averages 2.5 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Adem Bona, who compiles 1.6 rejections per contest.

Arizona Key Players to Watch

Azuolas Tubelis averages 19.7 points and 9.1 rebounds per game for the Wildcats, making him the top scorer and rebounder on the squad.

Arizona’s assist leader is Kerr Kriisa with 5.4 per game. He also scores 10.6 points per game and tacks on 2.4 rebounds per game.

Courtney Ramey is consistent from deep and leads the Wildcats with 2.8 made threes per game.

Arizona’s leader in steals is Ramey (1.1 per game), and its leader in blocks is Oumar Ballo (1.3 per game).