UConn vs. Villanova Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

The No. 14 UConn Huskies (23-7, 12-7 Big East) take a four-game win streak into a road matchup with the Villanova Wildcats (16-14, 10-9 Big East), winners of three straight. The Wildcats are underdogs by only 2.5 points in the contest, which begins at 7:30 PM ET (on FOX) on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The point total is set at 138.5 for the matchup.

UConn vs. Villanova Odds

• UConn odds to win: -142
• Villanova odds to win: +120
• Spread: UConn (-2.5)
• Total: 138.5

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Game Time and Information

• Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV: FOX
• Where: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Venue: Wells Fargo Center

Who Will Win UConn vs. Villanova?

UConn and Villanova Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When it has played as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, UConn is 16-11 against the spread.

Villanova has a 6-2 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season.

The two teams average a combined 10.6 more points per game (149.1) than this game’s total of 138.5 points.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 132.8 points per game, 5.7 fewer than the point total for this game.

The average over/under UConn has had set in matchups this season is 5.8 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average total for Wildcats games this season is 0.9 fewer points than the point total of 138.5 for this outing.

The Huskies’ ATS record is 18-11-0 this season.

The Wildcats’ ATS record is 13-17-0 this year.

UConn Stats & Insights

UConn is outscoring opponents by 14.2 points per game with a +426 scoring differential overall. It puts up 79.2 points per game (28th in college basketball) and allows 65 per outing (42nd in college basketball).

The 36.2 rebounds per game UConn averages rank 11th in college basketball, and are 9.7 more than the 26.5 its opponents record per outing.

The Huskies hit 4.4 more threes per game than the opposition, 9 (32nd in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 4.6.

UConn ranks 22nd in college basketball by averaging 101.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 15th in college basketball, allowing 83.1 points per 100 possessions.

The Huskies post 83.3 points per game when playing at home, compared to 70 points per game in away games, a difference of 13.3 points per contest.

Villanova Stats & Insights

Villanova has a +63 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.1 points per game. It is putting up 69.9 points per game, 220th in college basketball, and is giving up 67.8 per outing to rank 113th in college basketball.

Villanova records 28.7 rebounds per game (324th in college basketball), compared to the 29.3 of its opponents.

Villanova hits 8.6 three-pointers per game (56th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.7 on average.

Villanova ranks 62nd in college basketball with 98.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 284th defensively with 95.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Wildcats are putting up more points at home (71.3 per game) than away (67.3).

UConn Key Players to Watch

The Huskies leader in points and rebounds is Adama Sanogo, who scores 17.2 points and grabs 7.2 boards per game.

UConn’s best passer is Tristen Newton, who averages 4.5 assists per game to go with his 10.1 PPG scoring average.

The Huskies get the most three-point shooting production out of Jordan Hawkins, who makes 2.9 threes per game.

Newton is UConn’s leader in steals, averaging 1.2 steals per game, while Donovan Clingan leads them in blocks with 1.9 per contest.

Villanova Key Players to Watch

Eric Dixon sits on top of the Wildcats leaderboards for both scoring and rebounding with 16 points and 6.5 rebounds per game.

Caleb Daniels notches more assists than any other Villanova player with 2.5 per game. He also scores 14.9 points and grabs 4.4 rebounds per game.

Daniels is the top scorer from the three-point line for the Wildcats, hitting 2.3 threes per game.

Villanova’s leader in steals is Cam Whitmore with 1.4 per game, and its leader in blocks is Dixon with 0.6 per game.

UConn vs. Villanova Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  UConn (-2.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (138.5)
  

• Prediction:
  UConn 73, Villanova 68

How to Bet on UConn vs. Villanova

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