Utah State vs. Boise State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

March 3, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The Utah State Aggies (23-7, 12-5 MWC) are 4-point favorites as they look to build on a four-game win streak when they host the Boise State Broncos (23-7, 13-4 MWC) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum. The matchup airs at 9:00 PM ET on MW Network. The matchup has an over/under set at 143.5 points.

Utah State vs. Boise State Odds

Utah State odds to win: -187
Boise State odds to win: +158
Spread: Utah State (-4)
Total: 143.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
Time: 9:00 PM ET
TV: MW Network
Where: Logan, Utah
Venue: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum

Who Will Win Utah State vs. Boise State?

Utah State and Boise State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Utah State has a 15-7 record against the spread this season when favored by 4 points or more.

Boise State has a 2-1 record against the spread in games when it was an underdog by 4 points or more this year.

Between them, these two teams average 7.4 more points per game (150.9) than this game’s over/under (143.5).

Utah State and Boise State have seen their opponents average a combined 10.6 fewer points per game than the point total of 143.5 set for this outing.

The average total Utah State has had in its games this year is 5.2 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average over/under in Broncos games this year is 8.5 fewer points than the point total of 143.5 for this outing.

The Aggies have gone 18-11-0 ATS this season.

The Broncos are 16-12-1 against the spread this season.

Utah State Stats & Insights

Utah State averages 78.8 points per game (32nd in college basketball) while allowing 69.9 per contest (177th in college basketball). It has a +268 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 8.9 points per game.

Utah State grabs 33.1 rebounds per game (102nd in college basketball) while conceding 28.3 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.8 boards per game.

The Aggies hit 9.6 three-pointers per game (16th in college basketball) while shooting 40.2% from beyond the arc (third-best in college basketball). They are making 2.4 more threes per contest than their opponents, who drain 7.2 per game while shooting 35.6%.

Utah State averages 103.6 points per 100 possessions (eighth in college basketball), while giving up 91.8 points per 100 possessions (194th in college basketball).

The Aggies are putting up 80.9 points per game when playing at home. On the road, they are averaging 75 points per contest.

Boise State Stats & Insights

Boise State’s +273 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 72.1 points per game (174th in college basketball) while giving up 63 per outing (26th in college basketball).

Boise State wins the rebound battle by 4.3 boards on average. It collects 33.5 rebounds per game, 81st in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.2.

Boise State connects on 7.8 three-pointers per game (132nd in college basketball), 1.6 more than its opponents.

Boise State scores 97 points per 100 possessions (99th in college basketball), while allowing 84.7 points per 100 possessions (33rd in college basketball).

In 2022-23 the Broncos are scoring six more points per game at home (75.4) than on the road (69.4).

Utah State Key Players to Watch

The leader in points and assists for the Aggies is Steven Ashworth, who scores 16.2 points and distributes 4.6 assists per game.

Daniel Akin leads Utah State in rebounding, grabbing seven rebounds per game while also scoring 12.1 points a contest.

The Aggies get the most three-point shooting production out of Ashworth, who makes 3.2 threes per game.

Ashworth and Trevin Dorius lead Utah State on the defensive end, with Ashworth leading the team in steals averaging one per game and Dorius in blocks averaging one per contest.

Boise State Key Players to Watch

Marcus Shaver Jr. has racked up 5.9 boards and 3.7 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Broncos leaderboards in those categories.

Max Rice scores 14.4 points per game, putting him at the top of the Boise State scoring leaderboard. He also grabs 4.7 rebounds and adds 1.7 assists per game.

Rice knocks down 2.2 three-pointers per game, the most on the Broncos.

Boise State’s leader in steals is Shaver (1.6 per game), and its leader in blocks is Naje Smith (1.1 per game).