Air Force vs. San Jose State Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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Air Force vs. San Jose State Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

College Basketball Predictions

The Air Force Falcons (14-16, 5-12 MWC) host the San Jose State Spartans (18-12, 9-8 MWC) in a matchup of MWC teams at Clune Arena, starting at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The Falcons are 2.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 129.

Air Force vs. San Jose State Odds

  • Air Force odds to win: -139
  • San Jose State odds to win: +118
  • Spread: Air Force (-2.5)
  • Total: 129

Air Force vs. San Jose State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV: ALT
  • Where: Colorado Springs, Colorado
  • Venue: Clune Arena

Who Will Win Air Force vs. San Jose State?

Air Force and San Jose State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Air Force has a 6-3 record against the spread in games it was favored by 2.5 points or more this season.

When it has played as at least a 2.5-point underdog this season, San Jose State is 10-7 against the spread.

The Falcons and Spartans average 5.8 more points between them than the over/under of 129 for this matchup.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 133.4 points per game, 4.4 more than the point total for this game.

Air Force’s average total in outings this season has been 133.9, 4.9 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.

The average total in Spartans games this year is 5.4 more points than the point total of 129 for this outing.

The Falcons are 17-12-1 ATS this season.

The Spartans are 19-10-0 ATS this season.

Air Force Stats & Insights

Air Force has a +6 scoring differential, putting up 67.0 points per game (302nd in college basketball) and allowing 66.8 (84th in college basketball).

Air Force is 361st in college basketball at 26.6 rebounds per game. That’s 3.4 fewer than the 30.0 its opponents average.

The Falcons knock down 8.2 three-pointers per game (89th in college basketball) at a 35.9% rate (82nd in college basketball), compared to the 5.0 per game their opponents make at a 29.0% rate.

Air Force ranks 122nd in college basketball by averaging 96.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 298th in college basketball, allowing 95.8 points per 100 possessions.

Offensively, the Falcons have performed better when playing at home this season, putting up 70.1 points per game, compared to 62.5 per game on the road.

San Jose State Stats & Insights

San Jose State outscores opponents by 1.2 points per game (posting 67.8 points per game, 279th in college basketball, and conceding 66.6 per outing, 78th in college basketball) and has a +38 scoring differential.

San Jose State records 34.8 rebounds per game (34th in college basketball) while conceding 26.3 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 8.5 boards per game.

San Jose State knocks down 7.8 three-pointers per game (134th in college basketball) at a 33.1% rate (247th in college basketball), compared to the 7.0 its opponents make, shooting 34.9% from deep.

San Jose State records 93.9 points per 100 possessions (179th in college basketball), while conceding 92.1 points per 100 possessions (201st in college basketball).

At home, the Spartans score 70.1 points per game. On the road, they score 65.3.

Air Force Key Players to Watch

Jake Heidbreder leads the Falcons in scoring, tallying 14.9 points per game to go with 3.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists.

Air Force’s leading rebounder is Rytis Petraitis averaging 5.9 boards per game and its best passer is Ethan Taylor and his 3.3 assists per game.

Heidbreder makes more threes per game than any other member of the Falcons, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.3 per contest.

Taylor is Air Force’s leader in steals, averaging 1.0 steal per game, while Corbin Green leads them in blocks with 1.4 per contest.

San Jose State Key Players to Watch

The Spartans’ Omari Moore puts up enough points (17.0 per game) and assists (4.8 per game) to sit atop the team’s leaderboards.

Sage Tolbert is at the top of the San Jose State rebounding leaderboard with 7.3 rebounds per game. He also notches 8.1 points and adds 0.9 assists per game.

Moore is the top scorer from the three-point line for the Spartans, hitting 1.9 threes per game.

Alvaro Cardenas Torre (0.8 steals per game) is the steal leader for San Jose State while Ibrahima Diallo (1.8 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Air Force vs. San Jose State Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    San Jose State (+2.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (129)

  • Prediction:
    Air Force 67, San Jose State 66
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How to Bet on Air Force vs. San Jose State

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.


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Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.