Alcorn State vs. UAPB Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023
The Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (10-20, 6-11 SWAC) host the Alcorn State Braves (17-12, 14-3 SWAC) after losing three home games in a row. The Braves are favored by only 3 points in the contest, which tips at 6:30 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The matchup’s point total is 143.
Alcorn State vs. UAPB Odds
- Alcorn State odds to win: -150
- UAPB odds to win: +128
- Spread: Alcorn State (-3)
- Total: 143
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Time: 6:30 PM ET
- Where: Pine Bluff, Arkansas
- Venue: H.O. Clemmons Arena
Who Will Win Alcorn State vs. UAPB?
Alcorn State and UAPB Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Alcorn State is 4-7 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.
UAPB has a 9-9 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 3 points or more.
The Braves and the Golden Lions combine to average 7.3 fewer points per game than the over/under of 143 set for this matchup.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 1.8 fewer points per game (141.2) than this game’s total of 143 points.
The average point total in Alcorn State’s games this season is 3.2 fewer points than the over/under of 143 in this matchup.
The average over/under in Golden Lions games this year is 5.8 fewer points than the point total of 143 in this outing.
The Braves have a 14-15-0 record against the spread this season.
The Golden Lions have gone 13-14-0 ATS this season.
Alcorn State Stats & Insights
Alcorn State is being outscored by 2.7 points per game with a -79 scoring differential overall. It puts up 68.5 points per game (268th in college basketball) and allows 71.2 per contest (214th in college basketball).
Alcorn State is 212th in the country at 31.3 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 30.9 its opponents average.
The Braves connect on 5.2 three-pointers per game (345th in college basketball) at a 29.6% rate (350th in college basketball), compared to the 7.5 per contest their opponents make while shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc.
Alcorn State averages 87.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (316th in college basketball), and allows 91.2 points per 100 possessions (171st in college basketball).
The Braves are averaging 76.8 points per game this season at home, which is 12 more points than they’re averaging in away games (64.8).
UAPB Stats & Insights
UAPB has a -83 scoring differential, falling short by 2.8 points per game. It is putting up 67.2 points per game, 298th in college basketball, and is giving up 70 per outing to rank 181st in college basketball.
UAPB is 218th in the nation at 31.2 rebounds per game. That’s 2.4 fewer than the 33.6 its opponents average.
UAPB makes 7.9 three-pointers per game (118th in college basketball) at a 32.2% rate (293rd in college basketball), compared to the 6.4 per game its opponents make, at a 32.9% rate.
UAPB puts up 84.2 points per 100 possessions (349th in college basketball), while conceding 87.7 points per 100 possessions (77th in college basketball).
At home, the Golden Lions score 73.3 points per game. On the road, they average 63.2.
Alcorn State Key Players to Watch
The Braves scoring leader is Dominic Brewton, who averages 12.3 per contest to go with 3.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists.
Jeremiah Kendall leads Alcorn State in rebounding, averaging seven per game, while Byron Joshua leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 4.1 in each contest.
Dekedran Thorn makes more threes per game than any other member of the Braves, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.6 per contest.
Joshua is Alcorn State’s leader in steals, averaging 1.6 steals per game, while LaDarius Marshall leads them in blocks with 0.7 per contest.
UAPB Key Players to Watch
Shaun Doss puts up 17.8 points per game to be the top scorer for the Golden Lions.
UAPB’s leader in rebounds is Ismael Plet with 5.2 per game, and its leader in assists is Kylen Milton with 4.3 per game.
Chris Greene hits 2.4 three-pointers per game, the most on the Golden Lions.
Doss’ steals (1.4 steals per game) and blocks (0.6 blocks per game) pace UAPB defensively.
Alcorn State vs. UAPB Prediction
- Pick ATS:
UAPB (+3)
- Pick OU:
Under (143)
- Prediction:
Alcorn State 71, UAPB 68
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