Bradley vs. Indiana State MVC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023
The No. 1 seed Bradley Braves (24-8, 16-4 MVC) are 2.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 5 seed Indiana State Sycamores (22-11, 13-7 MVC) in the MVC Tournament Saturday at Enterprise Center, starting at 3:30 PM on CBS Sports Network. The over/under is 140 for the matchup.
Bradley vs. Indiana State Odds
- Bradley odds to win: -147
- Indiana State odds to win: +124
- Spread: Bradley (-2.5)
- Total: 140
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
- Where: St. Louis, Missouri
- Venue: Enterprise Center
Who Will Win Bradley vs. Indiana State?
Bradley and Indiana State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 2.5 points or more, Bradley has a 16-6 record against the spread.
In games it has played as at least a 2.5-point underdog this season, Indiana State is 4-0 against the spread.
These teams average 151.2 points per game combined, 11.2 more than the over/under of 140.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 130.7 points per game, 9.3 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
The average point total in Bradley’s games this season is 7.0 fewer points than the total of 140 in this matchup.
Sycamores games this year have averaged a total of 148.9 points, 8.9 more than the point total in this matchup.
So far this season, the Braves have compiled a 19-12-0 record against the spread.
The Sycamores’ ATS record is 21-11-0 this year.
Bradley Stats & Insights
Bradley’s +322 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 71.5 points per game (184th in college basketball) while giving up 61.5 per contest (14th in college basketball).
Bradley pulls down 33.5 rebounds per game (82nd in college basketball) while allowing 29.1 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.4 boards per game.
The Braves knock down 8.2 three-pointers per game (89th in college basketball), 1.7 more than their opponents (6.5). They are shooting 36.7% from deep (57th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 31.2%.
Bradley ranks 86th in college basketball with 97.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 22nd in college basketball defensively with 83.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
Offensively, the Braves have played better when playing at home this season, posting 78.4 points per game, compared to 66.5 per game away from home.
Indiana State Stats & Insights
Indiana State’s +345 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.7 points per game (25th in college basketball) while allowing 69.2 per contest (149th in college basketball).
Indiana State wins the rebound battle by 1.5 boards on average. It collects 31.6 rebounds per game, 185th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.1.
Indiana State hits 2.8 more threes per contest than the opposition, 9.5 (20th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.7.
Indiana State’s 103.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank ninth in college basketball, and the 89.5 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 124th in college basketball.
In 2022-23 the Sycamores are scoring 2.6 more points per game at home (80.3) than away (77.7).
Bradley Key Players to Watch
The scoring and rebounding leader for the Braves is Rienk Mast, who accumulates 14.6 points and 8.0 rebounds per game.
Bradley’s best passer is Duke Deen, who averages 3.0 assists per game to go with his 9.7 PPG scoring average.
Deen leads the Braves in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Malevy Leons is Bradley’s leader in steals and blocks, racking up 1.6 steals and 1.6 blocks per game.
Indiana State Key Players to Watch
The Sycamores’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Courvoisier McCauley with 15.8 points and 5.6 rebounds per game.
Cameron Henry records more assists than any other Indiana State teammate with 3.8 per game. He also averages 10.5 points and pulls down 4.7 rebounds per game.
McCauley is consistent from deep and leads the Sycamores with 3.0 made threes per game.
Henry’s steals (1.4 steals per game) and blocks (0.4 blocks per game) pace Indiana State on defense.
Bradley vs. Indiana State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Indiana State (+2.5)
- Pick OU:
Indiana State 71, Bradley 70
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How to Bet on Bradley vs. Indiana State
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