Grambling vs. Alabama State Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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Grambling vs. Alabama State Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

College Basketball Predictions

The Alabama State Hornets (8-22, 6-11 SWAC) are heavy underdogs (+11.5) as they try to end a five-game losing streak when they visit the Grambling Tigers (21-8, 14-3 SWAC) at 6:30 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center. The point total is 129.5 for the matchup.

Grambling vs. Alabama State Odds

  • Grambling odds to win: -679
  • Alabama State odds to win: +476
  • Spread: Grambling (-11.5)
  • Total: 129.5

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Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • Where: Grambling, Louisiana
  • Venue: Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center

Who Will Win Grambling vs. Alabama State?

Grambling and Alabama State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Grambling is winless against the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites.

Alabama State has a 5-4 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 11.5 points or more.

The Tigers and Hornets average 2.7 more points between them than the over/under of 129.5 for this game.

Grambling and Alabama State have seen its opponents average a combined 5.5 more points per game than the over/under of 129.5 set in this matchup.

The average over/under Grambling has had in its games this year is 1.1 more points than this particular game’s point total.

Hornets games this year have averaged a total of 136.6 points, 7.1 more than the point total in this matchup.

So far this season, the Tigers have put together a 16-11-0 record against the spread.

The Hornets are 14-16-0 against the spread this year.

Grambling Stats & Insights

Grambling outscores opponents by 6.2 points per game (scoring 68.4 per game to rank 271st in college basketball while giving up 62.2 per outing to rank 17th in college basketball) and has a +181 scoring differential overall.

Grambling prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 1.4 boards. It is recording 31.2 rebounds per game (218th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.8 per contest.

The Tigers knock down 5 three-pointers per game (351st in college basketball), 1.2 fewer than their opponents (6.2). They are shooting 35% from beyond the arc (144th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 30.5%.

Grambling’s 92.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 208th in college basketball, and the 84.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 28th in college basketball.

The Tigers are putting up 73.4 points per game this season in home games, which is 8.5 more points than they’re averaging away from home (64.9).

Alabama State Stats & Insights

Alabama State has a -269 scoring differential, falling short by nine points per game. It is putting up 63.8 points per game, 342nd in college basketball, and is allowing 72.8 per outing to rank 261st in college basketball.

The 32.7 rebounds per game Alabama State accumulates rank 120th in the nation, 2.7 fewer than the 35.4 its opponents record.

Alabama State makes 6.1 three-pointers per game (311th in college basketball) at a 31.1% rate (331st in college basketball), compared to the 7 its opponents make, shooting 33.8% from deep.

Alabama State puts up 80.8 points per 100 possessions (360th in college basketball), while allowing 92.2 points per 100 possessions (203rd in college basketball).

In 2022-23 the Hornets are averaging four more points per game at home (66.3) than away (62.3).

Grambling Key Players to Watch

The Tigers leader in points and rebounds is Carte’Are Gordon, who scores 12.7 points and grabs 7 rebounds per game.

Grambling’s best passer is Shawndarius Cowart, who averages 3.2 assists per game to go with his 11.1 PPG scoring average.

Cameron Christon leads the Tigers in three-point shooting, making an average of 1.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Cowart and Gordon lead Grambling on the defensive end, with Cowart leading the team in steals averaging 1.8 per game and Gordon in blocks averaging 1.5 per contest.

Alabama State Key Players to Watch

Isaiah Range is the top scorer for the Hornets with 14 points per game. He also adds 3.7 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game to his scoring output.

Alabama State’s leader in rebounds is Jordan O’Neal with 7.1 per game, and its leader in assists is Alex Anderson with 3.3 per game.

Range is the most prolific from the three-point line for the Hornets, hitting 2.3 threes per game.

Antonio Madlock (1.4 steals per game) is the steal leader for Alabama State while O’Neal (1.4 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Grambling vs. Alabama State Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    Grambling (-11.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (129.5)

  • Prediction:
    Grambling 73, Alabama State 60
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How to Bet on Grambling vs. Alabama State

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Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.