Houston vs. Memphis Prediction: Picks & Betting Odds – Sunday, March 5, 2023

March 4, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The No. 1 Houston Cougars (28-2, 16-1 AAC) will attempt to extend a 10-game win streak when they visit the Memphis Tigers (23-7, 13-4 AAC) at 12:00 PM ET on Sunday, March 5, 2023 as 4.5-point favorites. The Tigers have won three games in a row. The matchup’s point total is set at 144.5.

Houston vs. Memphis Odds

Houston odds to win: -209
Memphis odds to win: +175
Spread: Houston (-4.5)
Total: 144.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
Time: 12:00 PM ET
TV: CBS
Where: Memphis, Tennessee
Venue: FedExForum

Who Will Win Houston vs. Memphis?

Houston and Memphis Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Houston has a 16-12-1 record against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.

In games it has played as at least a 4.5-point underdog this season, Memphis is 2-0 against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 11.7 more points per game, 156.2, than this matchup’s total of 144.5 points.

Houston and Memphis have seen their opponents average a combined 15.5 fewer points per game than the point total of 144.5 set in this matchup.

Houston’s average point total in outings this year is 132.6, 11.9 points less than the over/under in this game.

The average over/under in Tigers games this year is 8.2 more points than the point total of 144.5 in this outing.

The Cougars have a 17-12-1 record against the spread this season.

The Tigers’ ATS record is 13-15-2 this season.

Houston Stats & Insights

Houston’s +603 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 20.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 76.3 points per game (73rd in college basketball) while allowing 56.2 per outing (second in college basketball).

Houston pulls down 36.1 rebounds per game (12th in college basketball) while allowing 26.6 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 9.5 boards per game.

The Cougars knock down 7.9 three-pointers per game (118th in college basketball), 1.5 more than their opponents (6.4). They are shooting 35.2% from beyond the arc (127th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 27.9%.

Houston ranks 10th in college basketball with 103.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and second in college basketball defensively with 76 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Cougars are scoring 77.3 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 0.8 more points than they’re averaging on the road (76.5).

Memphis Stats & Insights

Memphis’ +214 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.9 points per game (22nd in college basketball) while allowing 72.8 per contest (259th in college basketball).

The 32 rebounds per game Memphis accumulates rank 166th in the nation. Their opponents pull down 31.1.

Memphis makes 5.8 three-pointers per game (327th in college basketball), 2.2 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc (174th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 31.3%.

Memphis ranks 112th in college basketball with 96.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 75th defensively with 87.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 the Tigers are scoring one fewer points per game at home (81) than away (82).

Houston Key Players to Watch

Marcus Sasser leads the Cougars in scoring, tallying 17.2 points per game to go with 2.8 rebounds and 3.3 assists.

J’wan Roberts is Houston’s leading rebounder, grabbing 7.2 per game, while Jamal Shead is its best passer, distributing 5.3 assists in each contest.

Sasser makes more threes per game than any other member of the Cougars, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.7 per contest.

Shead and Ja’Vier Francis lead Houston on the defensive end, with Shead leading the team in steals averaging 1.8 per game and Francis in blocks averaging 1.3 per contest.

Memphis Key Players to Watch

Kendric Davis collects 21.3 points and adds 5.8 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Tigers’ leaderboards in those statistics.

DeAndre Williams is at the top of the Memphis rebounding leaderboard with 7.8 rebounds per game. He also notches 17.3 points and adds 2.8 assists per game.

Davis hits 1.7 three-pointers per game, the most on the Tigers.

Memphis’ leader in steals is Davis with 2.2 per game, and its leader in blocks is Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu with 1.6 per game.