Lafayette vs. American Patriot Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023
The No. 6 seed Lafayette Leopards (10-22, 7-11 Patriot) are favored by 2 points when they play the No. 7 seed American Eagles (17-14, 7-11 Patriot) in the Patriot Tournament Sunday at Kirby Sports Center, beginning at 4:00 PM on CBS Sports Network. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the Patriot championship. The over/under for the matchup is set at 120.5.
Lafayette vs. American Odds
- Lafayette odds to win: -137
- American odds to win: +116
- Spread: Lafayette (-2)
- Total: 120.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
- Where: Easton, Pennsylvania
- Venue: Kirby Sports Center
Who Will Win Lafayette vs. American?
Lafayette and American Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 2 points or more, Lafayette has a 5-1 record against the spread.
American has an 8-2 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 2 points or more.
These two teams average a combined 126.8 points per game, 6.3 more points than the over/under of 120.5 set for this matchup.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 130.3 points per game, 9.8 more than the over/under in this game.
Lafayette’s average point total in outings this season is 126.6, 6.1 points higher than the total in this game.
The average point total for the Eagles this year is 9.9 points higher than this game’s over/under.
The Leopards have an 18-13-1 record against the spread this season.
The Eagles’ ATS record is 13-18-0 this year.
Lafayette Stats & Insights
Lafayette has been outscored by 3.2 points per game (scoring 61.7 per game to rank 354th in college basketball while allowing 64.9 per outing to rank 40th in college basketball) and has a -102 scoring differential overall.
The 29.1 rebounds per game Lafayette averages rank 310th in the country, and are 3.2 fewer than the 32.3 its opponents record per contest.
The Leopards make 8.7 three-pointers per game (51st in college basketball), 1.2 more than their opponents (7.5).
Lafayette ranks 323rd in college basketball by averaging 87.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 190th in college basketball, allowing 91.8 points per 100 possessions.
The Leopards are scoring 59.9 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 3.2 fewer points than they’re averaging when playing on the road (63.1).
American Stats & Insights
American scores 65.1 points per game (332nd in college basketball) and allows 65.4 (48th in college basketball) for a -9 scoring differential overall.
American wins the rebound battle by 1.7 boards on average. It records 27.9 rebounds per game, 347th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 26.2.
American makes 6.2 three-pointers per game (300th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.5 on average.
American averages 93.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (189th in college basketball), and allows 94.1 points per 100 possessions (261st in college basketball).
At home, the Eagles score 66.6 points per game. On the road, they score 63.8.
Lafayette Key Players to Watch
Leo O’Boyle leads the Leopards in scoring, tallying 11.4 points per game to go with 3.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists.
Kyle Jenkins is Lafayette’s leading rebounder, grabbing 5.7 per game, while CJ Fulton is its best passer, distributing five assists in each contest.
O’Boyle makes more threes per game than any other member of the Leopards, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.2 per contest.
Fulton is Lafayette’s leader in steals, averaging two steals per game, while Justin Vander Baan leads them in blocks with 1.1 per contest.
American Key Players to Watch
Matt Rogers is at the top of the Eagles scoring leaderboard with 13.8 points per game. He also pulls down six rebounds and averages 1.7 assists per game.
American’s leader in rebounds is Johnny O’Neil with 6.6 per game, and its leader in assists is Elijah Stephens with four per game.
O’Neil is consistent from distance and leads the Eagles with 1.9 made threes per game.
American’s leader in steals is Stephens (1.7 per game), and its leader in blocks is O’Neil (1.7 per game).
Lafayette vs. American Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Lafayette (-2)
- Pick OU:
Over (120.5)
- Prediction:
Lafayette 65, American 63
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How to Bet on Lafayette vs. American
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