Liberty vs. Kennesaw State ASUN Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023

The ASUN conference title and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket are on the line when the No. 2 seed Liberty Flames (26-7, 15-3 ASUN) and the No. 1 Kennesaw State Owls (25-8, 15-3 ASUN) meet on Sunday at 3:00 PM, live on ESPN2. Liberty is favored by 5.5 points for this pivotal matchup. The point total in the matchup is set at 138.5.

Liberty vs. Kennesaw State Odds

• Liberty odds to win: -245
• Kennesaw State odds to win: +200
• Spread: Liberty (-5.5)
• Total: 138.5

Liberty vs. Kennesaw State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Where: Kennesaw, Georgia
• Venue: KSU Convocation Center

Who Will Win Liberty vs. Kennesaw State?

Liberty and Kennesaw State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Liberty has a 17-10 record against the spread this season when favored by 5.5 points or more.

Kennesaw State has a 4-1 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 5.5 points or more this year.

These teams average 151 points per game combined, 12.5 more than the over/under of 138.5.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined nine fewer points per game (129.5) than this game’s over/under of 138.5 points.

Liberty’s average point total in matchups this year is 135.9, 2.6 points below the over/under in this game.

The average point total for the Owls this season is six points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Flames have an 18-13-0 record against the spread this season.

The Owls are 20-10-0 ATS this year.

Liberty Stats & Insights

Liberty’s +495 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15 points per game) is a result of scoring 75.5 points per game (88th in college basketball) while giving up 60.5 per outing (ninth in college basketball).

The 30.8 rebounds per game Liberty averages rank 245th in the nation, and are four more than the 26.8 its opponents record per contest.

The Flames connect on 10.7 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in college basketball) at a 38% rate (18th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 per game their opponents make at a 34.8% rate.

Liberty ranks third in college basketball with 106 points scored per 100 possessions, and 33rd in college basketball defensively with 84.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Flames post 79.6 points per game at home, compared to 71.6 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of eight points per contest.

Kennesaw State Stats & Insights

Kennesaw State outscores opponents by 6.5 points per game (posting 75.5 points per game, 88th in college basketball, and allowing 69 per contest, 142nd in college basketball) and has a +215 scoring differential.

Kennesaw State averages 31.5 rebounds per game (194th in college basketball) while conceding 30.4 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 1.1 boards per game.

Kennesaw State hits 8.3 three-pointers per game (79th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.4 on average.

Kennesaw State ranks 100th in college basketball averaging 96.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 99th, allowing 88.5 points per 100 possessions.

At home, the Owls score 81.3 points per game. Away, they score 71.2.

Liberty Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Flames this season is Darius McGhee, who averages 22.7 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game.

Joseph Venzant is Liberty’s leading rebounder, pulling down 5.2 per game, while Colin Porter is its best passer, averaging 3.8 assists in each contest.

The Flames get the most three-point shooting production out of McGhee, who makes 4.6 threes per game.

McGhee is Liberty’s leader in steals, averaging 1.5 steals per game, while Shiloh Robinson leads them in blocks with 0.6 per contest.

Kennesaw State Key Players to Watch

Chris Youngblood racks up 14.6 points per game and is the top scorer for the Owls.

The Kennesaw State leaders in rebounding and assists are Brandon Stroud with 6.5 rebounds per game (he also adds 9.2 points and 1.7 assists per game) and Terrell Burden with 4.2 assists per game (he also tacks on 13.3 points and 3.1 rebounds per game).

Youngblood is dependable from three-point range and leads the Owls with 2.4 made threes per game.

Kennesaw State’s leader in steals is Burden with 1.7 per game, and its leader in blocks is Demond Robinson with 0.9 per game.

Liberty vs. Kennesaw State Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Kennesaw State (+5.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (138.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Liberty 72, Kennesaw State 68

How to Bet on Liberty vs. Kennesaw State

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