Marshall vs. Texas State Sun Belt Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023
The Sun Belt conference tournament continues Saturday as the No. 3 seed Marshall Thundering Herd (24-7, 13-5 Sun Belt) face off against the No. 11 seed Texas State Bobcats (15-18, 6-12 Sun Belt) at Pensacola Bay Center, tipping off at 6:00 PM on ESPN+. Marshall is an 8-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under in the matchup is set at 146.5.
Marshall vs. Texas State Odds
- Marshall odds to win: -365
- Texas State odds to win: +289
- Spread: Marshall (-8)
- Total: 146.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Pensacola, Florida
- Venue: Pensacola Bay Center
Who Will Win Marshall vs. Texas State?
Marshall and Texas State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Marshall has an 11-5 record against the spread this season when favored by 8 points or more.
When it has played as at least a 8-point underdog this season, Texas State is 1-2 against the spread.
Between them, these two teams average 1.8 more points per game (148.3) than this game’s total (146.5).
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.5 fewer points per game (138) than this game’s total of 146.5 points.
The average over/under Marshall has had set in games this year is seven more points than this outing’s point total.
Bobcats games this season have averaged a total of 132.8 points, 13.7 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
So far this season, the Thundering Herd have put together a 19-11-0 record against the spread.
The Bobcats are 11-18-1 ATS this season.
Marshall Stats & Insights
Marshall is outscoring opponents by 10.9 points per game with a +338 scoring differential overall. It puts up 82.2 points per game (10th in college basketball) and gives up 71.3 per contest (217th in college basketball).
The 35.5 rebounds per game Marshall averages rank 25th in the nation. Its opponents record 35.4 per contest.
The Thundering Herd hit 8.2 three-pointers per game (89th in college basketball), 1.3 more than their opponents (6.9).
Marshall ranks 101st in college basketball with 96.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 25th in college basketball defensively with 84 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Thundering Herd are putting up 84.5 points per game this season at home, which is 5.1 more points than they’re averaging in road games (79.4).
Texas State Stats & Insights
Texas State has a -22 scoring differential, putting up 66.1 points per game (319th in college basketball) and conceding 66.7 (79th in college basketball).
Texas State grabs 30.1 rebounds per game (274th in college basketball) while allowing 28 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.1 boards per game.
Texas State hits 1.7 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 4.4 (361st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.1.
Texas State’s 91.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 241st in college basketball, and the 92.4 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 208th in college basketball.
At home, the Bobcats average 66.1 points per game. Away, they average 63.9.
Marshall Key Players to Watch
The leader in points and assists for the Thundering Herd is Taevion Kinsey, who scores 22.2 points and dishes out 5.4 assists per game.
Micah Handlogten is Marshall’s best rebounder, pulling down an average of 9.9 boards in each contest while scoring 7.7 points per game.
Kamdyn Curfman makes more threes per game than any other member of the Thundering Herd, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.3 per contest.
The Marshall steals leader is Andrew Taylor, who averages 2.1 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Handlogten, who compiles 2.3 rejections per contest.
Texas State Key Players to Watch
Mason Harrell averages 16 points and tacks on 2.4 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Bobcats’ leaderboards for those statistics.
Tyler Morgan’s stat line of 6.2 rebounds, 8.9 points and 1.5 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Texas State rebounding leaderboard.
Harrell makes 1.4 three-pointers per game, the most on the Bobcats.
Harrell (one steal per game) is the steal leader for Texas State while Nate Martin (0.9 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Marshall vs. Texas State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Marshall 76, Texas State 67
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How to Bet on Marshall vs. Texas State
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