Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

College Basketball Predictions

The Vanderbilt Commodores (17-13, 11-7 SEC) are 3.5-point underdogs as they attempt to build on a four-game home winning streak when they square off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-10, 8-10 SEC) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Memorial Gymnasium. The matchup airs at 8:30 PM ET on SEC Network. The over/under is set at 132.5 for the matchup.

Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Odds

  • Mississippi State odds to win: -166
  • Vanderbilt odds to win: +140
  • Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)
  • Total: 132.5

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Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Where: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Venue: Memorial Gymnasium

Who Will Win Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt?

Mississippi State and Vanderbilt Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Mississippi State has a 10-8 record against the spread this season when favored by 3.5 points or more.

Vanderbilt has a 10-4 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 3.5 points or more.

The Bulldogs and Commodores average 5.6 more points between them than the total of 132.5 for this matchup.

Mississippi State and Vanderbilt have seen their opponents average a combined 0.9 fewer points per game than the point total of 132.5 set for this outing.

Mississippi State’s average point total in outings this season is 126.0, 6.5 points below the total in this game.

The average point total for the Commodores this season is 11.1 points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Bulldogs’ ATS record is 16-14-0 this season.

The Commodores are 16-14-0 against the spread this season.

Mississippi State Stats & Insights

Mississippi State is outscoring opponents by 6.3 points per game with a +189 scoring differential overall. It puts up 66.2 points per game (317th in college basketball) and allows 59.9 per contest (seventh in college basketball).

Mississippi State is 42nd in college basketball at 34.5 rebounds per game. That’s 4.0 more than the 30.5 its opponents average.

The Bulldogs make 1.5 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 5.5 (338th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 7.0.

Mississippi State ranks 301st in college basketball with 88.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and sixth in college basketball defensively with 80.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.

When playing at home, the Bulldogs are putting up 6.6 more points per game (69.6) than they are away from home (63.0).

Vanderbilt Stats & Insights

Vanderbilt has a +5 scoring differential, putting up 71.9 points per game (178th in college basketball) and conceding 71.7 (231st in college basketball).

Vanderbilt is 51st in the country at 34.1 rebounds per game. That’s 1.1 more than the 33.0 its opponents average.

Vanderbilt connects on 8.4 three-pointers per game (70th in college basketball) while shooting 33.6% from beyond the arc (218th in college basketball). It is making 1.4 more threes than its opponents, who drain 7.0 per game at 31.5%.

Vanderbilt averages 93.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (185th in college basketball), and concedes 93.5 points per 100 possessions (245th in college basketball).

In 2022-23 the Commodores are averaging 1.5 fewer points per game at home (71.9) than away (73.4).

Mississippi State Key Players to Watch

The scoring and rebounding leader for the Bulldogs is Tolu Smith, who accumulates 15.0 points and 8.2 rebounds per game.

Mississippi State’s best passer is Dashawn Davis, who averages 3.5 assists per game to go with his 8.4 PPG scoring average.

The Bulldogs get the most three-point shooting production out of Davis, who makes 1.3 threes per game.

Shakeel Moore and Smith lead Mississippi State on the defensive end, with Moore leading the team in steals averaging 1.8 per game and Smith in blocks averaging 0.7 per contest.

Vanderbilt Key Players to Watch

Liam Robbins collects 15.0 points and 6.8 rebounds per game for the Commodores, enough to make him the leading scorer and rebounder on the squad.

Ezra Manjon’s assist statline paces Vanderbilt; he dishes out 3.7 assists per game.

Myles Stute is the top shooter from deep for the Commodores, hitting 2.3 threes per game.

Vanderbilt’s leader in steals is Manjon with 0.9 per game, and its leader in blocks is Robbins with 3.0 per game.

Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    Vanderbilt (+3.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (132.5)

  • Prediction:
    Vanderbilt 68, Mississippi State 67
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How to Bet on Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

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Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.