Nevada vs. UNLV Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023
The Nevada Wolf Pack (22-8, 12-5 MWC) host the UNLV Rebels (17-12, 6-11 MWC) after winning 15 home games in a row. The Wolf Pack are favored by 8.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 5:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The matchup has an over/under of 142.5.
Nevada vs. UNLV Odds
- Nevada odds to win: -403
- UNLV odds to win: +314
- Spread: Nevada (-8.5)
- Total: 142.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- TV: MW Network
- Where: Reno, Nevada
- Venue: Lawlor Events Center
Who Will Win Nevada vs. UNLV?
Nevada and UNLV Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Nevada has a 5-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 8.5 points or more.
UNLV is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least a 8.5-point underdog.
These teams average 146.9 points per game combined, 4.4 more than the over/under of 142.5.
Nevada and UNLV have seen their opponents average a combined 6.6 fewer points per game than the point total of 142.5 set for this outing.
The average point total in Nevada’s games this year is 3.5 fewer points than the over/under of 142.5 in this matchup.
The average point total for the Rebels this year is 1.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, the Wolf Pack have compiled a 19-10-0 record against the spread.
So far this year, the Rebels have compiled a 14-13-1 record against the spread.
Nevada Stats & Insights
Nevada outscores opponents by 6.4 points per game (scoring 72.7 per game to rank 158th in college basketball while giving up 66.3 per contest to rank 70th in college basketball) and has a +190 scoring differential overall.
Nevada is 266th in the country at 30.3 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 30.5 its opponents average.
The Wolf Pack connect on 7.3 three-pointers per game (197th in college basketball) at a 35.2% rate (126th in college basketball), compared to the 7.6 their opponents make while shooting 32.8% from deep.
Nevada’s 99.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 48th in college basketball, and the 90.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 153rd in college basketball.
Offensively, the Wolf Pack have fared better at home this year, averaging 77.6 points per game, compared to 66.8 per game away from home.
UNLV Stats & Insights
UNLV puts up 74.2 points per game (120th in college basketball) while giving up 69.6 per outing (165th in college basketball). It has a +136 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 4.6 points per game.
UNLV loses the rebound battle by 2.5 boards on average. It records 30.6 rebounds per game, 254th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 33.1.
UNLV makes 7.9 three-pointers per game (118th in college basketball) at a 34.8% rate (157th in college basketball), compared to the 9 per contest its opponents make, shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc.
UNLV ranks 178th in college basketball averaging 94 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 85th, allowing 88 points per 100 possessions.
In 2022-23 the Rebels are scoring 0.3 fewer points per game at home (74.9) than away (75.2).
Nevada Key Players to Watch
The Wolf Pack scoring leader is Jarod Lucas, who averages 16.7 per contest to go with 2.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists.
Darrion Williams leads Nevada in rebounding, averaging 7.2 per game, while Kenan Blackshear leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 4.8 in each contest.
The Wolf Pack get the most three-point shooting production out of Lucas, who knocks down 2.5 threes per game.
The Nevada steals leader is Blackshear, who averages 1.6 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Tre Coleman, who compiles 0.9 rejections per contest.
UNLV Key Players to Watch
Elijah Harkless puts up 18.4 points per game and is the top scorer for the Rebels.
Luis Rodriguez has a stat line of 5.3 rebounds, 10.8 points and 1.2 assists per game for UNLV to take the top rebound spot on the team. Keshon Gilbert has the top spot for assists with 3.3 per game, adding 11.9 points and four rebounds per matchup.
Justin Webster hits 1.7 three-pointers per game, the most on the Rebels.
UNLV’s leader in steals is Rodriguez (1.8 per game), and its leader in blocks is David Muoka (1.4 per game).
Nevada vs. UNLV Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Nevada 74, UNLV 66
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How to Bet on Nevada vs. UNLV
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