North Dakota State vs. South Dakota Summit Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023

The Summit conference tournament continues Sunday as the No. 3 seed North Dakota State Bison (14-16, 11-7 Summit) face off against the No. 6 seed South Dakota Coyotes (12-18, 7-11 Summit) at Denny Sanford Premier Center, starting at 9:30 PM on ESPN+. North Dakota State is a 5.5-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 142.5 points.

North Dakota State vs. South Dakota Odds

• North Dakota State odds to win: -247
• South Dakota odds to win: +200
• Spread: North Dakota State (-5.5)
• Total: 142.5

North Dakota State vs. South Dakota Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
• Time: 9:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Where: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
• Venue: Denny Sanford Premier Center

Who Will Win North Dakota State vs. South Dakota?

North Dakota State and South Dakota Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

North Dakota State is 2-4 against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.

In games it has played as at least a 5.5-point underdog this year, South Dakota is 4-5 against the spread.

The Bison and the Coyotes combine to average 0.2 fewer points per game than the total of 142.5 set for this game.

North Dakota State and South Dakota have seen its opponents average a combined 3.7 more points per game than the over/under of 142.5 set for this game.

The average over/under North Dakota State has had set in games this season is 2.9 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for the Coyotes this year is 0.6 points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Bison have gone 14-14-0 ATS this season.

The Coyotes’ ATS record is 11-17-0 this year.

North Dakota State Stats & Insights

North Dakota State scores 72.9 points per game (152nd in college basketball) and gives up 72.5 (249th in college basketball) for a +12 scoring differential overall.

North Dakota State wins the rebound battle by 3.1 boards on average. It collects 33.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 65th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 30.6 per outing.

The Bison knock down 7.7 three-pointers per game (139th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 7.1 on average.

North Dakota State’s 95.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 124th in college basketball, and the 95.4 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 285th in college basketball.

The Bison are posting 77.9 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 9.0 more points than they’re averaging in away games (68.9).

South Dakota Stats & Insights

South Dakota is being outscored by 4.3 points per game, with a -131 scoring differential overall. It puts up 69.4 points per game (237th in college basketball), and gives up 73.7 per outing (285th in college basketball).

The 30.0 rebounds per game South Dakota accumulates rank 280th in the nation, 2.0 fewer than the 32.0 its opponents pull down.

South Dakota knocks down 9.0 three-pointers per game (34th in college basketball) at a 39.5% rate (sixth-best in college basketball), compared to the 8.3 its opponents make, shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc.

South Dakota ranks 194th in college basketball averaging 93.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 347th, allowing 99.3 points per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 the Coyotes are scoring 16.8 more points per game at home (78.3) than on the road (61.5).

North Dakota State Key Players to Watch

Grant Nelson leads the Bison in points, rebounds and assists, scoring 17.9 points, pulling down 8.9 boards and distributing 2.1 assists per game.

The Bison get the most three-point shooting production out of Boden Skunberg, who knocks down 1.7 threes per game.

Nelson is North Dakota State’s leader in steals and blocks, racking up 0.9 steals and 1.7 blocks per game.

South Dakota Key Players to Watch

Kruz Perrott-Hunt averages 14.2 points per game to be the top scorer for the Coyotes.

Damani Hayes has a stat line of 6.8 rebounds, 5.4 points and 0.9 assists per game for South Dakota to take the top rebound spot on the team. A.J. Plitzuweit has the top spot for assists with 2.6 per game, adding 11.5 points and 2.2 rebounds per contest.

Perrott-Hunt averages 2.0 three-pointers per game, the most on the Coyotes.

South Dakota’s leader in steals is Mason Archambault with 1.4 per game, and its leader in blocks is Hayes with 0.4 per game.

North Dakota State vs. South Dakota Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  South Dakota (+5.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (142.5)
  

• Prediction:
  North Dakota State 75, South Dakota 69

How to Bet on North Dakota State vs. South Dakota

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