Penn State vs. Maryland Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023
The No. 21 Maryland Terrapins (20-10, 11-8 Big Ten) are underdogs (by 3.5 points) to stop a three-game road losing streak when they visit the Penn State Nittany Lions (18-12, 9-10 Big Ten) on Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 134.
Penn State vs. Maryland Odds
- Penn State odds to win: -171
- Maryland odds to win: +145
- Spread: Penn State (-3.5)
- Total: 134
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
- Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV: Big Ten Network
- Where: University Park, Pennsylvania
- Venue: Bryce Jordan Center
Who Will Win Penn State vs. Maryland?
Penn State and Maryland Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Penn State has a 7-7-1 record against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
Maryland is 2-3 against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year.
These teams average a combined 143.5 points per game, 9.5 more points than the total of 134 set for this matchup.
Penn State and Maryland have seen their opponents average a combined 2.5 fewer points per game than the over/under of 134 set for this outing.
The average over/under Penn State has had in its games this year is 6.9 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average over/under in Terrapins games this year is 0.1 more points than the point total of 134 for this outing.
So far this season, the Nittany Lions have compiled a 16-13-1 record against the spread.
The Terrapins are 18-11-1 against the spread this season.
Penn State Stats & Insights
Penn State is outscoring opponents by 4.3 points per game with a +129 scoring differential overall. It puts up 72.6 points per game (161st in college basketball) and gives up 68.3 per outing (126th in college basketball).
The 29.8 rebounds per game Penn State averages rank 286th in the nation, and are 3.0 fewer than the 32.8 its opponents grab per outing.
The Nittany Lions connect on 10.8 three-pointers per game (third-most in college basketball), 3.2 more than their opponents (7.6). They are shooting 39% from beyond the arc (seventh-best in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 34.5%.
Penn State ranks 17th in college basketball by averaging 101.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 294th in college basketball, allowing 95.7 points per 100 possessions.
At home, the Nittany Lions are posting 8.2 more points per game (76.6) than they are away from home (68.4).
Maryland Stats & Insights
Maryland is outscoring opponents by 7.7 points per game, with a +233 scoring differential overall. It puts up 70.9 points per game (194th in college basketball) and gives up 63.2 per contest (26th in college basketball).
Maryland pulls down 31.6 rebounds per game (183rd in college basketball) while allowing 29.4 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.2 boards per game.
Maryland knocks down 6.7 three-pointers per game (258th in college basketball) at a 32.6% rate (270th in college basketball), compared to the 5.5 per game its opponents make, at a 31.5% rate.
Maryland ranks 80th in college basketball averaging 97.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 68th, allowing 87 points per 100 possessions.
In 2022-23 the Terrapins are averaging 12.3 more points per game at home (74.6) than on the road (62.3).
Penn State Key Players to Watch
The Nittany Lions leader in points, rebounds and assists is Jalen Pickett, who puts up 18.1 points, 7.3 boards and 7 assists per game.
Andrew Funk makes more threes per game than any other member of the Nittany Lions, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.9 per contest.
The Penn State steals leader is Pickett, who averages 0.9 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Seth Lundy, who compiles 0.7 rejections per contest.
Maryland Key Players to Watch
Jahmir Young’s points (15.9 per game) and assists (3.3 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Terrapins’ leaderboards.
Julian Reese’s stat line of 7.3 rebounds, 11.4 points and 0.9 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Maryland rebounding leaderboard.
Don Carey is the most prolific from distance for the Terrapins, hitting 1.5 threes per game.
Maryland’s leader in steals is Young (1.2 per game), and its leader in blocks is Reese (1.2 per game).
Penn State vs. Maryland Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Maryland (+3.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (134)
- Prediction:
Maryland 70, Penn State 69
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How to Bet on Penn State vs. Maryland
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