Samford vs. Chattanooga SoCon Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023
The SoCon conference tournament continues Saturday as the No. 2 seed Samford Bulldogs (21-10, 15-3 SoCon) face off against the No. 7 seed Chattanooga Mocs (16-16, 7-11 SoCon) at Harrah’s Cherokee Center Asheville, beginning at 6:00 PM on ESPN+. Samford is a 1.5-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is 154.5 for the matchup.
Samford vs. Chattanooga Odds
- Samford odds to win: -127
- Chattanooga odds to win: +107
- Spread: Samford (-1.5)
- Total: 154.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Asheville, North Carolina
- Venue: Harrah’s Cherokee Center Asheville
Who Will Win Samford vs. Chattanooga?
Samford and Chattanooga Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Samford has an 11-8 record against the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
Chattanooga has a 4-9 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 1.5 points or more this year.
The two teams average a combined 1.1 more points per game, 155.6, than this matchup’s over/under of 154.5 points.
Samford and Chattanooga have seen their opponents average a combined 11.8 fewer points per game than the over/under of 154.5 set in this game.
The average point total for Samford’s games this year is 4.8 fewer points than the over/under of 154.5 in this matchup.
Mocs games this year have averaged an over/under of 148.6 points, 5.9 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
So far this season, the Bulldogs have put together a 14-13-0 record against the spread.
So far this year, the Mocs have compiled a 12-16-1 record against the spread.
Samford Stats & Insights
Samford outscores opponents by 7.5 points per game (scoring 78.6 per game to rank 33rd in college basketball while giving up 71.1 per contest to rank 209th in college basketball) and has a +232 scoring differential overall.
Samford grabs 32.8 rebounds per game (114th in college basketball) while allowing 29.4 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.4 boards per game.
The Bulldogs connect on 9 three-pointers per game (32nd in college basketball) at a 35.2% rate (126th in college basketball), compared to the 8.8 their opponents make while shooting 36.1% from deep.
Samford’s 100.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 30th in college basketball, and the 90.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 158th in college basketball.
The Bulldogs score 81.4 points per game in home games, compared to 75.7 points per game away from home, a difference of 5.7 points per contest.
Chattanooga Stats & Insights
Chattanooga outscores opponents by 5.4 points per game (posting 77 points per game, 58th in college basketball, and conceding 71.6 per outing, 227th in college basketball) and has a +173 scoring differential.
The 33.5 rebounds per game Chattanooga accumulates rank 81st in the nation, 2.5 more than the 31 its opponents pull down.
Chattanooga connects on 11.4 three-pointers per game (first in college basketball) at a 37.4% rate (32nd in college basketball), compared to the 8.6 per game its opponents make, at a 33.8% rate.
Chattanooga ranks 36th in college basketball with 100.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 228th defensively with 93.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
At home the Mocs are scoring 80.8 points per game, 8.8 more than they are averaging away (72).
Samford Key Players to Watch
The Bulldogs scoring leader is Logan Dye, who averages 13 per contest to go with 5.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists.
Samford’s leading rebounder is Jermaine Marshall averaging 6.5 boards per game and its best passer is Bubba Parham and his 2.6 assists per game.
The Bulldogs get the most three-point shooting production out of Parham, who makes 1.8 threes per game.
A.J. Staton-McCray is Samford’s leader in steals, averaging 1.7 steals per game, while Achor Achor leads them in blocks with 0.8 per contest.
Chattanooga Key Players to Watch
The Mocs’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Jamal Johnson with 13.5 points and 4.2 rebounds per game.
Dalvin White’s assist statline leads Chattanooga; he racks up 2.8 assists per game.
Johnson is consistent from three-point range and leads the Mocs with 2.6 made threes per game.
Chattanooga’s leader in steals is Johnson with 1.1 per game, and its leader in blocks is Sam Alexis with 0.7 per game.
Samford vs. Chattanooga Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Samford 77, Chattanooga 72
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How to Bet on Samford vs. Chattanooga
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