Santa Clara vs. San Francisco WCC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023
The No. 3 seed Santa Clara Broncos (23-8, 11-5 WCC) are favored by 3.5 points when they square off the No. 6 seed San Francisco Dons (19-13, 7-9 WCC) in the WCC Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Sunday at Orleans Arena starting at 12:30 AM and airing on ESPN2. The matchup’s point total is set at 156.5.
Santa Clara vs. San Francisco Odds
- Santa Clara odds to win: -175
- San Francisco odds to win: +149
- Spread: Santa Clara (-3.5)
- Total: 156.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
- Time: 12:30 AM ET
- TV: ESPN2
- Where: Paradise, Nevada
- Venue: Orleans Arena
Who Will Win Santa Clara vs. San Francisco?
Santa Clara and San Francisco Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games it has played as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, Santa Clara is 4-10 against the spread.
San Francisco has a 4-4 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 3.5 points or more.
The two teams average a combined 3.5 fewer points per game (153) than this matchup’s total of 156.5 points.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 145.6 points per game, 10.9 fewer than the over/under in this game.
The average total Santa Clara has had set in matchups this season is 6.3 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
Dons games this season have averaged a total of 148.4 points, 8.1 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
So far this season, the Broncos have put together a 16-14-0 record against the spread.
So far this year, the Dons have put together a 15-16-0 record against the spread.
Santa Clara Stats & Insights
Santa Clara outscores opponents by 4.2 points per game (scoring 77.2 per game to rank 54th in college basketball while allowing 73 per contest to rank 270th in college basketball) and has a +132 scoring differential overall.
Santa Clara grabs 35.3 rebounds per game (27th in college basketball) while conceding 30.4 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.9 boards per game.
The Broncos make 8.3 three-pointers per game (78th in college basketball) at a 37% rate (47th in college basketball), compared to the 8.5 their opponents make while shooting 35.4% from beyond the arc.
Santa Clara ranks 101st in college basketball with 96.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 183rd in college basketball defensively with 91.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
Offensively the Broncos have been worse when playing at home this season, scoring 76.1 points per game, compared to 81.2 per game when playing on the road.
San Francisco Stats & Insights
San Francisco is outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game, with a +101 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.8 points per game (82nd in college basketball) and gives up 72.6 per contest (255th in college basketball).
The 31.8 rebounds per game San Francisco accumulates rank 173rd in the nation, 1.8 more than the 30 its opponents record.
San Francisco hits 3.5 more threes per contest than the opposition, 10 (11th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.5.
San Francisco’s 97.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 90th in college basketball, and the 93.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 228th in college basketball.
The Dons average 78.5 points per game at home, and 74.5 away.
Santa Clara Key Players to Watch
The Broncos leader in points, rebounds and assists is Brandin Podziemski, who puts up 19.9 points, 8.8 boards and 3.4 assists per game.
The Broncos get the most three-point shooting production out of Keshawn Justice, who knocks down 2.8 threes per game.
The Santa Clara steals leader is Podziemski, who averages 1.7 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Parker Braun, who compiles one block per contest.
San Francisco Key Players to Watch
Khalil Shabazz paces the Dons scoring, rebounding and assists leaderboards, hitting 16.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game.
Shabazz is reliable from deep and leads the Dons with 2.6 made threes per game.
San Francisco’s leader in steals is Shabazz with 2.1 per game, and its leader in blocks is Saba Gigiberia with 0.6 per game.
Santa Clara vs. San Francisco Prediction
- Pick ATS:
San Francisco (+3.5)
- Pick OU:
Santa Clara 76, San Francisco 73
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