South Dakota State vs. Omaha Summit Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023
The No. 2 seed South Dakota State Jackrabbits (18-12, 13-5 Summit) are favored by 11 points in the Summit Tournament over the No. 10 seed Omaha Mavericks (9-22, 4-14 Summit). The teams will hit the court Saturday at 9:30 PM live on ESPN+, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s over/under is 144.5.
South Dakota State vs. Omaha Odds
- South Dakota State odds to win: -644
- Omaha odds to win: +461
- Spread: South Dakota State (-11)
- Total: 144.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
- Venue: Denny Sanford Premier Center
Who Will Win South Dakota State vs. Omaha?
South Dakota State and Omaha Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When it has played as at least a 11-point underdog this year, Omaha is 6-3 against the spread.
The Jackrabbits and the Mavericks combine to average 4.7 fewer points per game than the total of 144.5 set for this game.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 1.7 more points per game, 146.2, than this matchup’s total of 144.5 points.
The average point total in South Dakota State’s games this season is 3.9 fewer points than the over/under of 144.5 in this matchup.
Mavericks games this year have averaged a total of 145.5 points, 1.0 more than the point total in this matchup.
The Jackrabbits are 14-14-1 ATS this season.
The Mavericks are 16-14-0 against the spread this year.
South Dakota State Stats & Insights
South Dakota State’s +39 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 70.9 points per game (195th in college basketball) while giving up 69.6 per contest (165th in college basketball).
The 30.0 rebounds per game South Dakota State averages rank 279th in the nation, and are 1.5 fewer than the 31.5 its opponents grab per contest.
The Jackrabbits make 7.6 three-pointers per game (158th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 7.9 on average.
South Dakota State ranks 149th in college basketball with 94.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 228th in college basketball defensively with 93.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
At home, the Jackrabbits are putting up 11.9 more points per game (78.5) than they are in away games (66.6).
Omaha Stats & Insights
Omaha’s -238 scoring differential (being outscored by 7.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 68.9 points per game (252nd in college basketball) while allowing 76.6 per outing (337th in college basketball).
Omaha ranks 283rd in college basketball at 29.9 rebounds per game. That’s 2.0 fewer than the 31.9 its opponents average.
Omaha hits 5.6 three-pointers per game (337th in college basketball) at a 33.9% rate (197th in college basketball), compared to the 8.6 per outing its opponents make, shooting 36.4% from deep.
Omaha ranks 249th in college basketball with 91.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and 356th defensively with 101.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
At home the Mavericks are scoring 76.2 points per game, 13.8 more than they are averaging away (62.4).
South Dakota State Key Players to Watch
The leader in scoring, rebounding and assists for the Jackrabbits is Zeke Mayo, who tallies 18.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game.
The Jackrabbits get the most three-point shooting production out of Mayo, who knocks down 2.7 threes per game.
The South Dakota State steals leader is Mayo, who averages 1.0 steal per game, while its blocks leader is William Kyle III, who compiles 1.3 rejections per contest.
Omaha Key Players to Watch
The Mavericks’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Frankie Fidler with 14.8 points and 5.6 rebounds per game.
Omaha’s assist leader is JJ White with 4.0 per game. He also averages 9.6 points per game and adds 2.8 rebounds per game.
Luke Jungers is the most prolific from deep for the Mavericks, hitting 1.4 threes per game.
Fidler (1.3 steals per game) is the steal leader for Omaha while Dylan Brougham (1.3 blocks per game) is the block leader.
South Dakota State vs. Omaha Prediction
- Pick ATS:
South Dakota State (-11)
- Pick OU:
South Dakota State 77, Omaha 66
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