Southern Miss vs. South Alabama Sun Belt Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023
The No. 1 seed Southern Miss Golden Eagles (25-6, 14-4 Sun Belt) are favored by 1 point when they play the No. 8 seed South Alabama Jaguars (17-15, 9-9 Sun Belt) in the Sun Belt Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Saturday at Pensacola Bay Center tipping off at 12:30 PM and airing on ESPN+. The matchup has a point total of 138.5.
Southern Miss vs. South Alabama Odds
- Southern Miss odds to win: -117
- South Alabama odds to win: -102
- Spread: Southern Miss (-1)
- Total: 138.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Pensacola, Florida
- Venue: Pensacola Bay Center
Who Will Win Southern Miss vs. South Alabama?
Southern Miss and South Alabama Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Southern Miss has a 14-7 record against the spread this season when favored by 1 point or more.
When it has played as at least a 1-point underdog this season, South Alabama is 8-5 against the spread.
These teams average a combined 145.5 points per game, 7.0 more points than the total of 138.5 set for this game.
Southern Miss and South Alabama have seen their opponents average a combined 8.4 fewer points per game than the point total of 138.5 set for this game.
The average total Southern Miss has had set in matchups this year is 1.2 more points than this outing’s point total.
Jaguars games this season have averaged a total of 135.9 points, 2.6 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
The Golden Eagles are 18-10-0 against the spread this season.
So far this year, the Jaguars have compiled a 19-11-0 record against the spread.
Southern Miss Stats & Insights
Southern Miss is outscoring opponents by 9.7 points per game with a +299 scoring differential overall. It puts up 74.7 points per game (110th in college basketball) and allows 65 per outing (42nd in college basketball).
Southern Miss ranks 88th in the nation at 33.4 rebounds per game. That’s 2.7 more than the 30.7 its opponents average.
The Golden Eagles hit 7 three-pointers per game (222nd in college basketball) at a 32.8% rate (259th in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 their opponents make while shooting 31.5% from deep.
Southern Miss’ 96.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 113th in college basketball, and the 83.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 23rd in college basketball.
The Golden Eagles post 78.6 points per game at home, compared to 70.6 points per game in road games, a difference of eight points per contest.
South Alabama Stats & Insights
South Alabama outscores opponents by 5.7 points per game (posting 70.8 points per game, 198th in college basketball, and allowing 65.1 per outing, 44th in college basketball) and has a +180 scoring differential.
The 30.4 rebounds per game South Alabama accumulates rank 263rd in the country, 2.4 fewer than the 32.8 its opponents collect.
South Alabama hits 7.7 three-pointers per game (143rd in college basketball) while shooting 34.3% from deep (183rd in college basketball). It is making 2.8 more threes than its opponents, who drain 4.9 per game at 29.6%.
South Alabama ranks 129th in college basketball averaging 95.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 84th, allowing 88 points per 100 possessions.
The Jaguars are scoring more points at home (73.1 per game) than on the road (67.9).
Southern Miss Key Players to Watch
The scoring leader for the Golden Eagles this season is Austin Crowley, who averages 16.2 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 2.6 assists per game.
Southern Miss’ leading rebounder is DeAndre Pinckney averaging 6.7 boards per game and its best passer is Mo Arnold and his 3.1 assists per game.
The Golden Eagles get the most three-point shooting production out of Crowley, who knocks down 2.1 threes per game.
Crowley is Southern Miss’ leader in steals, averaging two steals per game, while Felipe Haase leads them in blocks with 0.6 per contest.
South Alabama Key Players to Watch
The Jaguars’ Isaiah Moore puts up enough points (18.5 per game) and assists (4.6 per game) to top the team’s leaderboards.
Kevin Samuel’s stat line of 9.1 rebounds, 10.3 points and 0.5 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the South Alabama rebounding leaderboard.
Owen White is dependable from three-point range and leads the Jaguars with 2.1 made threes per game.
South Alabama’s leader in steals is Moore with 1.3 per game, and its leader in blocks is Samuel with 2.6 per game.
Southern Miss vs. South Alabama Prediction
- Pick ATS:
South Alabama (+1)
- Pick OU:
Southern Miss 69, South Alabama 68
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How to Bet on Southern Miss vs. South Alabama
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