St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois Summit Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023

The No. 5 seed Saint Thomas Tommies (18-13, 9-9 Summit) are 3.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 4 seed Western Illinois Leathernecks (16-13, 9-9 Summit) in the Summit Tournament Sunday at Denny Sanford Premier Center, tipping off at 7:00 PM on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 148.5.

St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois Odds

• St. Thomas odds to win: -170
• Western Illinois odds to win: +143
• Spread: St. Thomas (-3.5)
• Total: 148.5

St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Where: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
• Venue: Denny Sanford Premier Center

Who Will Win St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois?

St. Thomas and Western Illinois Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

St. Thomas is 10-1 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.

In games this year in which it was an underdog by 3.5 points or more, Western Illinois has an 8-5 record against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 0.3 fewer points per game (148.2) than this matchup’s over/under of 148.5 points.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 143.1 points per game, 5.4 fewer than the over/under in this game.

St. Thomas’ average point total in matchups this year is 145.2, 3.3 points below the total in this game.

The average over/under in Leathernecks games this season is 2.5 fewer points than the point total of 148.5 for this outing.

So far this season, the Tommies have compiled an 18-10-1 record against the spread.

So far this year, the Leathernecks have compiled a 15-11-0 record against the spread.

St. Thomas Stats & Insights

St. Thomas’ +129 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.7 points per game (113th in college basketball) while giving up 70.5 per outing (190th in college basketball).

St. Thomas is 328th in the nation at 28.5 rebounds per game. That’s 3.1 fewer than the 31.6 its opponents average.

The Tommies hit 9 three-pointers per game (34th in college basketball), 2.2 more than their opponents (6.8). They are shooting 35.3% from deep (123rd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 34.1%.

St. Thomas averages 101.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (23rd in college basketball), and allows 95.5 points per 100 possessions (287th in college basketball).

The Tommies are averaging 81.1 points per game this season at home, which is 12.4 more points than they’re averaging in away games (68.7).

Western Illinois Stats & Insights

Western Illinois puts up 73.5 points per game (136th in college basketball) while giving up 72.6 per contest (254th in college basketball). It has a +27 scoring differential.

Western Illinois ranks 248th in the nation at 30.7 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31.5 its opponents average.

Western Illinois connects on 7 three-pointers per game (223rd in college basketball) at a 32.1% rate (298th in college basketball), compared to the 6.3 its opponents make, shooting 32.2% from beyond the arc.

Western Illinois records 95.9 points per 100 possessions (123rd in college basketball), while conceding 94.7 points per 100 possessions (272nd in college basketball).

In 2022-23 the Leathernecks are averaging 14.3 more points per game at home (80.4) than away (66.1).

St. Thomas Key Players to Watch

The Tommies leader in points and assists is Andrew Rohde, who puts up 16.6 points per game to go with 3.7 assists.

Parker Bjorklund leads St. Thomas in rebounding, grabbing 5.1 rebounds per game while also scoring 14.7 points a contest.

Riley Miller makes more threes per game than any other member of the Tommies, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.7 per contest.

Rohde is St. Thomas’ leader in steals, averaging 1.6 steals per game, while Ahjany Lee leads them in blocks with 0.7 per contest.

Western Illinois Key Players to Watch

Trenton Massner’s points (19.3 per game) and assists (5.3 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Leathernecks’ leaderboards.

Jesiah West is at the top of the Western Illinois rebounding leaderboard with 7.4 rebounds per game. He also notches 9.6 points and adds 2.2 assists per game.

Massner is the most prolific from distance for the Leathernecks, hitting three threes per game.

Western Illinois’ leader in steals is Massner (1.5 per game), and its leader in blocks is West (1.7 per game).

St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  St. Thomas (-3.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Under (148.5)
  

• Prediction:
  St. Thomas 75, Western Illinois 70

How to Bet on St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois

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