Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese Southland Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023

The No. 5 seed Texas A&M-Commerce Lions (13-19, 9-9 Southland) are favored by 1 point when they meet the No. 8 seed McNeese Cowboys (9-22, 6-12 Southland) in the Southland Tournament Sunday at The Legacy Center, tipping off at 6:00 PM on ESPN+. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the Southland championship. The matchup’s point total is set at 136.5.

Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese Odds

• Texas A&M-Commerce odds to win: -116
• McNeese odds to win: -104
• Spread: Texas A&M-Commerce (-1)
• Total: 136.5

Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Where: Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Venue: The Legacy Center

Who Will Win Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese?

Texas A&M-Commerce and McNeese Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When it has played as at least 1-point favorites this season, Texas A&M-Commerce is 1-8 against the spread.

In games it has played as at least a 1-point underdog this season, McNeese is 10-8-1 against the spread.

The Lions and Cowboys average 3.7 more points between them than the over/under of 136.5 for this matchup.

Texas A&M-Commerce and McNeese have seen its opponents average a combined 12.1 more points per game than the point total of 136.5 set in this outing.

Texas A&M-Commerce’s average total in matchups this year has been 144.6, 8.1 points higher than the total in this particular game.

The average total for Cowboys games this season is 7.7 more points than the point total of 136.5 for this outing.

The Lions have gone 14-15-2 ATS this season.

The Cowboys are 13-16-1 against the spread this year.

Texas A&M-Commerce Stats & Insights

Texas A&M-Commerce is being outscored by 1.8 points per game with a -58 scoring differential overall. It puts up 71.4 points per game (185th in college basketball) and gives up 73.2 per contest (273rd in college basketball).

The 29.2 rebounds per game Texas A&M-Commerce averages rank 306th in college basketball, and are 1.6 fewer than the 30.8 its opponents grab per contest.

The Lions make 8.4 three-pointers per game (71st in college basketball) at a 31.8% rate (310th in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 per game their opponents make at a 34.4% rate.

Texas A&M-Commerce’s 93.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 179th in college basketball, and the 96.3 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 308th in college basketball.

The Lions are putting up 78.8 points per game this season in home games, which is 10.1 more points than they’re averaging in away games (68.7).

McNeese Stats & Insights

McNeese’s -203 scoring differential (being outscored by 6.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 68.8 points per game (256th in college basketball) while allowing 75.4 per contest (320th in college basketball).

The 31.5 rebounds per game McNeese accumulates rank 194th in the nation. Their opponents collect 32.1.

McNeese connects on 7.9 three-pointers per game (119th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.7. It shoots 32.4% from deep, and its opponents shoot 39.3%.

McNeese scores 88.4 points per 100 possessions (304th in college basketball), while allowing 96.9 points per 100 possessions (318th in college basketball).

At home, the Cowboys average 74.3 points per game. Away, they score 64.3.

Texas A&M-Commerce Key Players to Watch

The Lions leader in points and rebounds is Demarcus Demonia, who scores 15.2 points and pulls down 5.4 rebounds per game.

Kalen Williams leads Texas A&M-Commerce in assists, averaging 2.5 per game while also scoring 9.4 points per contest.

Demonia leads the Lions in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 1.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.

The Texas A&M-Commerce steals leader is Demonia, who averages 1.1 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Jerome Brewer Jr., who compiles 0.7 rejections per contest.

McNeese Key Players to Watch

The Cowboys’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Christian Shumate with 13.9 points and 9.3 rebounds per game.

McNeese’s assist leader is Trae English with 3.6 per game. He also scores 10.8 points per game and grabs 1.9 rebounds per game.

Zach Scott is the top shooter from distance for the Cowboys, hitting 2.2 threes per game.

McNeese’s leader in steals is English with 1.7 per game, and its leader in blocks is Shumate with 0.7 per game.

Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Texas A&M-Commerce (-1)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (136.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Texas A&M-Commerce 73, McNeese 71

How to Bet on Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese

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