UC Davis vs. Long Beach State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023
The UC Davis Aggies (17-13, 10-8 Big West) are at home in Big West action against the Long Beach State Beach (17-14, 11-8 Big West) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET. The Aggies are 2.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup’s over/under is set at 157.
UC Davis vs. Long Beach State Odds
- UC Davis odds to win: -149
- Long Beach State odds to win: +126
- Spread: UC Davis (-2.5)
- Total: 157
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Davis, California
- Venue: The Pavilion at ARC
Who Will Win UC Davis vs. Long Beach State?
UC Davis and Long Beach State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When it has played as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, UC Davis is 8-8 against the spread.
In games it has played as at least a 2.5-point underdog this season, Long Beach State is 2-5-1 against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 5.8 fewer points per game (151.2) than this matchup’s total of 157 points.
UC Davis and Long Beach State have seen their opponents average a combined 13.1 fewer points per game than the over/under of 157 set for this outing.
The average over/under UC Davis has had set in games this season is 11.6 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under for Beach games this year is 7.4 fewer points than the point total of 157 for this outing.
So far this season, the Aggies have compiled a 12-16-0 record against the spread.
The Beach have a 12-16-1 record against the spread this year.
UC Davis Stats & Insights
UC Davis outscores opponents by 4.4 points per game (scoring 74.9 per game to rank 108th in college basketball while allowing 70.5 per outing to rank 191st in college basketball) and has a +133 scoring differential overall.
UC Davis averages 33.1 rebounds per game (102nd in college basketball) while conceding 28.9 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.2 boards per game.
The Aggies knock down 6.9 three-pointers per game (234th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.2. They shoot 35.3% from deep while their opponents hit 36.8% from long range.
UC Davis averages 94.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (172nd in college basketball), and allows 88.7 points per 100 possessions (105th in college basketball).
The Aggies are averaging 78.8 points per game in home games. In away games, they are averaging 70.5 points per contest.
Long Beach State Stats & Insights
Long Beach State’s +90 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 2.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 76.3 points per game (72nd in college basketball) while giving up 73.4 per contest (282nd in college basketball).
Long Beach State grabs 37.5 rebounds per game (fifth in college basketball) while allowing 31.2 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.3 boards per game.
Long Beach State makes 4.3 three-pointers per game (362nd in college basketball), 4.1 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 29.6% from deep (350th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 33.6%.
Long Beach State ranks 244th in college basketball with 91.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 80th defensively with 87.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
At home the Beach are putting up 77.1 points per game, 0.2 fewer points than they are averaging away (77.3).
UC Davis Key Players to Watch
Elijah Pepper leads the Aggies in points, rebounds and assists, scoring 22.3 points, grabbing 5.9 boards and dishing out 3.5 assists per game.
Pepper leads the Aggies in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Ty Johnson and Christian Anigwe lead UC Davis on the defensive end, with Johnson leading the team in steals averaging 1.8 per game and Anigwe in blocks averaging 1.4 per contest.
Long Beach State Key Players to Watch
Marcus Tsohonis sits at the top of the Beach scoring leaderboard with 15 points per game. He also pulls down 3.5 rebounds and racks up two assists per game.
Lassina Traore has a stat line of 10.3 rebounds, 12.7 points and 1.1 assists per game for Long Beach State to take the top rebound spot on the team. Aboubacar Traore has the top spot for assists with 3.4 per game, adding 10 points and 8.8 rebounds per contest.
Jadon Jones averages 1.6 three-pointers per game, the most on the Beach.
Jones is at the top of the Long Beach State steals and blocks leaderboards with 1.6 steals per game and 0.7 blocks per game.
UC Davis vs. Long Beach State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
UC Davis (-2.5)
- Pick OU:
UC Davis 75, Long Beach State 72
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How to Bet on UC Davis vs. Long Beach State
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