UCF vs. East Carolina Prediction: Picks & Betting Odds – Sunday, March 5, 2023

March 4, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The UCF Knights (16-13, 7-10 AAC) are at home in AAC action against the East Carolina Pirates (15-15, 6-11 AAC) on Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 2:00 PM ET. The Knights are double-digit favorites by 11.5 points in the game. The matchup’s over/under is 136.5.

UCF vs. East Carolina Odds

UCF odds to win: -720
East Carolina odds to win: +498
Spread: UCF (-11.5)
Total: 136.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
Time: 2:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN+
Where: Orlando, Florida
Venue: Addition Financial Arena

Who Will Win UCF vs. East Carolina?

UCF and East Carolina Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

UCF has a 4-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 11.5 points or more this season.

East Carolina has a 4-0 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 11.5 points or more.

Between them, these two teams average 4.9 more points per game (141.4) than this game’s total (136.5).

UCF and East Carolina have seen their opponents average a combined 0.1 fewer points per game than the over/under of 136.5 set in this outing.

The average total in UCF’s games this year is 0.6 more points than the total of 136.5 in this game.

The average point total for the Pirates this year is 4.1 points higher than this game’s over/under.

So far this season, the Knights have put together a 14-14-1 record against the spread.

The Pirates have gone 18-10-2 ATS this season.

UCF Stats & Insights

UCF outscores opponents by six points per game (scoring 71.6 per game to rank 184th in college basketball while allowing 65.6 per contest to rank 54th in college basketball) and has a +173 scoring differential overall.

UCF ranks 225th in the country at 31.1 rebounds per game. That’s 1.8 more than the 29.3 its opponents average.

The Knights connect on 8.9 three-pointers per game (39th in college basketball) while shooting 36% from beyond the arc (80th in college basketball). They are making 2.3 more threes per outing than their opponents, who drain 6.6 per game while shooting 30.8%.

UCF scores 93.4 points per 100 possessions (194th in college basketball), while allowing 85.6 points per 100 possessions (45th in college basketball).

In home games, the Knights are averaging 10.4 more points per game (76.8) than they are on the road (66.4).

East Carolina Stats & Insights

East Carolina scores 69.8 points per game (222nd in college basketball) and concedes 70.8 (203rd in college basketball) for a -31 scoring differential overall.

East Carolina grabs 33.7 rebounds per game (66th in college basketball) while conceding 31.5 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.2 boards per game.

East Carolina hits 1.3 more threes per contest than the opposition, 7.7 (139th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.4.

East Carolina ranks 282nd in college basketball with 89.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 155th defensively with 90.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Pirates average 72.2 points per game at home, and 63.5 away.

UCF Key Players to Watch

The scoring and rebounding leader for the Knights is Taylor Hendricks, who averages 15.3 points and 6.6 rebounds per game.

CJ Kelly leads UCF in assists, averaging 2.8 per game while also scoring 12.4 points per contest.

Ithiel Horton leads the Knights in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.3 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Horton is UCF’s leader in steals, averaging 1.3 steals per game, while Hendricks leads them in blocks with 1.6 per contest.

East Carolina Key Players to Watch

RJ Felton averages 13.9 points per game and is the top scorer for the Pirates.

The East Carolina leaders in rebounding and assists are Brandon Johnson with 8.3 rebounds per game (he also adds 12.8 points and two assists per game) and Jaden Walker with 2.9 assists per game (he also tacks on 7.1 points and 4.6 rebounds per game).

Felton knocks down 1.9 three-pointers per game, the most on the Pirates.

East Carolina’s leader in steals is Walker with 1.3 per game, and its leader in blocks is Johnson with 0.8 per game.