UMBC vs. Binghamton America East Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023
The No. 4 seed UMBC Retrievers (18-13, 8-8 America East) are favored by 7 points in their America East Tournament matchup against the No. 5 seed Binghamton Bearcats (12-17, 8-8 America East) on Saturday at UMBC Event Center, tipping off at 1:00 PM on ESPN+. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has a point total of 143.
UMBC vs. Binghamton Odds
- UMBC odds to win: -330
- Binghamton odds to win: +261
- Spread: UMBC (-7)
- Total: 143
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Baltimore, Maryland
- Venue: UMBC Event Center
Who Will Win UMBC vs. Binghamton?
UMBC and Binghamton Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 7 points or more, UMBC has a 4-5 record against the spread.
When it has played as at least a 7-point underdog this year, Binghamton is 5-7 against the spread.
The Retrievers and Bearcats average 0.9 more points between them than the over/under of 143 for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 144.4 points per game, 1.4 more than the over/under in this game.
UMBC’s average point total in matchups this year is 147.5, 4.5 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average point total for the Bearcats this year is 2.2 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
The Retrievers’ ATS record is 15-15-0 this season.
So far this season, the Bearcats have compiled a 14-14-0 record against the spread.
UMBC Stats & Insights
UMBC is outscoring opponents by 1.7 points per game with a +52 scoring differential overall. It puts up 74.6 points per game (115th in college basketball) and allows 72.9 per contest (263rd in college basketball).
The 31.4 rebounds per game UMBC averages rank 205th in the nation. Its opponents pull down 31.8 per contest.
The Retrievers connect on 8.1 three-pointers per game (98th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 8.6 on average.
UMBC ranks 74th in college basketball by averaging 98 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 298th in college basketball, allowing 95.8 points per 100 possessions.
Offensively, the Retrievers have performed better in home games this year, putting up 78.7 points per game, compared to 70.3 per game away from home.
Binghamton Stats & Insights
Binghamton puts up 69.3 points per game (244th in college basketball) while giving up 71.5 per contest (223rd in college basketball). It has a -64 scoring differential and has been outscored by 2.2 points per game.
Binghamton wins the rebound battle by 1.2 boards on average. It records 32 rebounds per game, 164th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 30.8.
Binghamton hits 5.4 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball) while shooting 31.7% from beyond the arc (314th in college basketball). It is making 1.3 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 6.7 per game at 33%.
Binghamton ranks 259th in college basketball with 90.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 247th defensively with 93.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
At home the Bearcats are scoring 72.3 points per game, 6.3 more than they are averaging away (66).
UMBC Key Players to Watch
The Retrievers scoring leader is Colton Lawrence, who averages 12.5 per contest to go with 3.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists.
Yaw Obeng-Mensah is UMBC’s leading rebounder, pulling down 6.3 per game, while Craig Beaudion is its best passer, averaging 3.9 assists in each contest.
Matteo Picarelli makes more threes per game than any other member of the Retrievers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.1 per contest.
Beaudion is UMBC’s leader in steals, averaging 1.2 steals per game, while Obeng-Mensah leads them in blocks with 0.5 per contest.
Binghamton Key Players to Watch
Jacob Falko’s points (13.7 per game) and assists (3.7 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Bearcats’ leaderboards.
Armon Harried is at the top of the Binghamton rebounding leaderboard with 6.4 rebounds per game. He also notches 12.3 points and adds 1.9 assists per game.
Dan Petcash knocks down 1.5 three-pointers per game, the most on the Bearcats.
Binghamton’s leader in steals is Falko with 1.1 per game, and its leader in blocks is Harried with 0.8 per game.
UMBC vs. Binghamton Prediction
- Pick ATS:
UMBC (-7)
- Pick OU:
Over (143)
- Prediction:
UMBC 76, Binghamton 68
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