USC vs. Arizona State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

March 4, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The USC Trojans (21-9, 13-6 Pac-12) host the Arizona State Sun Devils (20-10, 11-8 Pac-12) in a matchup of Pac-12 teams at Galen Center, starting at 11:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The Trojans are 5.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 140.

USC vs. Arizona State Odds

USC odds to win: -232
Arizona State odds to win: +191
Spread: USC (-5.5)
Total: 140

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
Time: 11:00 PM ET
TV: Fox Sports 1
Where: Los Angeles, California
Venue: Galen Center

Who Will Win USC vs. Arizona State?

USC and Arizona State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

USC has a 5-8 record against the spread this season when favored by 5.5 points or more.

Arizona State has a 3-2 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 5.5 points or more.

The two teams average a combined 3.9 more points per game (143.9) than this matchup’s total of 140 points.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 134.6 points per game, 5.4 fewer than the point total for this game.

USC’s average point total in matchups this season is 140.0, equal to the over/under in this game.

The average over/under in Sun Devils games this season is 1.5 fewer points than the point total of 140 for this outing.

So far this season, the Trojans have put together a 17-13-0 record against the spread.

The Sun Devils are 13-17-0 against the spread this year.

USC Stats & Insights

USC outscores opponents by 6.0 points per game (scoring 73.0 per game to rank 150th in college basketball while giving up 67.0 per outing to rank 88th in college basketball) and has a +179 scoring differential overall.

USC pulls down 31.9 rebounds per game (168th in college basketball) compared to the 31.8 of its opponents.

The Trojans knock down 6.5 three-pointers per game (275th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 7.3 on average.

USC ranks 170th in college basketball by averaging 94.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 58th in college basketball, allowing 86.5 points per 100 possessions.

The Trojans are averaging 76.7 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 8.5 more points than they’re averaging in away games (68.2).

Arizona State Stats & Insights

Arizona State’s +100 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 70.9 points per game (195th in college basketball) while giving up 67.6 per contest (103rd in college basketball).

Arizona State loses the rebound battle by 1.5 boards on average. It records 33.1 rebounds per game, 102nd in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 34.6.

Arizona State hits 7.5 three-pointers per game (175th in college basketball) at a 31.7% rate (314th in college basketball), compared to the 7.8 its opponents make, shooting 33.5% from deep.

Arizona State ranks 289th in college basketball averaging 88.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 32nd, allowing 84.7 points per 100 possessions.

The Sun Devils are putting up more points at home (71.1 per game) than on the road (69.8).

USC Key Players to Watch

The leader in rebounds and assists for the Trojans is Drew Peterson, who grabs 6.3 boards and distributes 4.5 assists per game to go with a 14.3 PPG scoring average.

Boogie Ellis is USC’s leading scorer, averaging 17.8 per game while tacking on 3.7 rebounds and 3.0 assists.

Ellis makes more threes per game than any other member of the Trojans, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.6 per contest.

Kobe Johnson is USC’s leader in steals, averaging 2.2 steals per game, while Joshua Morgan leads them in blocks with 2.4 per contest.

Arizona State Key Players to Watch

Desmond Cambridge is the top scorer for the Sun Devils with 13.7 points per game. He also tacks on 3.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game to his stats.

Warren Washington has a stat line of 6.6 rebounds, 9.3 points and 1.5 assists per game for Arizona State to take the top rebound spot on the team. Frankie Collins holds the top spot for assists with 4.5 per game, adding 10.3 points and 4.4 rebounds per outing.

Cambridge is the top scorer from distance for the Sun Devils, hitting 2.4 threes per game.

Arizona State’s leader in steals is Cambridge (1.6 per game), and its leader in blocks is Washington (1.8 per game).