Virginia Tech vs. Florida State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

March 4, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The Virginia Tech Hokies (17-13, 7-12 ACC) are at home in ACC action against the Florida State Seminoles (9-21, 7-12 ACC) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET. The Hokies are double-digit favorites by 10 points in the game. The over/under in the matchup is 149.5.

Virginia Tech vs. Florida State Odds

Virginia Tech odds to win: -535
Florida State odds to win: +397
Spread: Virginia Tech (-10)
Total: 149.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
Time: 4:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN2
Where: Blacksburg, Virginia
Venue: Cassell Coliseum

Who Will Win Virginia Tech vs. Florida State?

Virginia Tech and Florida State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Virginia Tech has a 4-5 record against the spread in games it was favored by 10 points or more this season.

In games it has played as at least a 10-point underdog this season, Florida State is 3-2 against the spread.

The Hokies and the Seminoles combine to average 5.4 fewer points per game than the total of 149.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 145.9 points per game, 3.6 fewer than the point total for this matchup.

The average point total for Virginia Tech’s games this year is 6.0 fewer points than the over/under of 149.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for the Seminoles this season is 3.0 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

The Hokies are 14-16-0 ATS this season.

The Seminoles’ ATS record is 12-18-0 this year.

Virginia Tech Stats & Insights

Virginia Tech’s +142 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.1 points per game (123rd in college basketball) while allowing 69.4 per contest (157th in college basketball).

The 31.3 rebounds per game Virginia Tech averages rank 212th in college basketball. Its opponents record 31.6 per contest.

The Hokies hit 8.1 three-pointers per game (98th in college basketball), 1.1 more than their opponents (7). They are shooting 35.6% from deep (103rd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 33.5%.

Virginia Tech averages 98.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (52nd in college basketball), and gives up 92.6 points per 100 possessions (217th in college basketball).

Offensively, the Hokies have performed better at home this year, putting up 76.9 points per game, compared to 71.2 per game in road games.

Florida State Stats & Insights

Florida State is being outscored by 6.5 points per game, with a -197 scoring differential overall. It puts up 70 points per game (216th in college basketball), and gives up 76.5 per outing (335th in college basketball).

Florida State records 28.5 rebounds per game (328th in college basketball) while conceding 33 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 4.5 boards per game.

Florida State makes 6.5 three-pointers per game (274th in college basketball), 2.4 fewer than its opponents.

Florida State averages 90.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (260th in college basketball), and concedes 99 points per 100 possessions (346th in college basketball).

In 2022-23 the Seminoles are scoring 2.2 more points per game at home (71.6) than away (69.4).

Virginia Tech Key Players to Watch

The leader in rebounds and assists for the Hokies is Justyn Mutts, who pulls down 7.3 boards and administers 4.7 assists per game to go with a 13.1 PPG scoring average.

Grant Basile is Virginia Tech’s leading scorer, tallying 16.6 per game while tacking on 5.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists.

Hunter Cattoor makes more threes per game than any other member of the Hokies, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.6 per contest.

Mutts is Virginia Tech’s leader in steals, averaging 1.6 steals per game, while Basile leads them in blocks with 1.3 per contest.

Florida State Key Players to Watch

The Seminoles’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Matthew Cleveland with 14.2 points and 7.7 rebounds per game.

Caleb Mills’ assist statline leads Florida State; he records 3.5 assists per game.

Darin Green Jr. is the top scorer from the three-point line for the Seminoles, hitting 2.9 threes per game.

Florida State’s leader in steals is Mills (1.4 per game), and its leader in blocks is Naheem McLeod (1.2 per game).