Xavier vs. Butler Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023
The No. 19 Xavier Musketeers (22-8, 14-5 Big East) are at home in Big East play against the Butler Bulldogs (14-16, 6-13 Big East) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET. The Musketeers are double-digit favorites by 13 points in the game. The matchup has a point total of 142.5.
Xavier vs. Butler Odds
- Xavier odds to win: -1005
- Butler odds to win: +638
- Spread: Xavier (-13)
- Total: 142.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: Fox Sports 1
- Where: Cincinnati, Ohio
- Venue: Cintas Center
Who Will Win Xavier vs. Butler?
Xavier and Butler Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When it has played as at least 13-point favorites this season, Xavier is 3-4 against the spread.
When it has played as at least a 13-point underdog this year, Butler is 1-1 against the spread.
The Musketeers and the Bulldogs combine to average 5.1 more points per game than the total of 142.5 set for this matchup.
Xavier and Butler have seen their opponents average a combined 0.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 142.5 set in this outing.
The average over/under Xavier has had in its games this year is 14.5 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average total in Bulldogs games this year is 9.9 fewer points than the point total of 142.5 in this outing.
The Musketeers have gone 17-12-1 ATS this season.
The Bulldogs are 13-16-1 against the spread this year.
Xavier Stats & Insights
Xavier is outscoring opponents by 7.5 points per game with a +225 scoring differential overall. It puts up 82.3 points per game (ninth in college basketball) and allows 74.8 per contest (309th in college basketball).
Xavier comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 5.3 boards. It is recording 34.8 rebounds per game (34th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.5 per contest.
The Musketeers connect on 7.7 three-pointers per game (143rd in college basketball) at a 39.9% rate (fifth-best in college basketball), compared to the 7.7 their opponents make while shooting 36.6% from deep.
Xavier ranks 18th in college basketball by averaging 101.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 208th in college basketball, allowing 92.4 points per 100 possessions.
At home, the Musketeers are scoring 3.5 more points per game (84) than they are away from home (80.5).
Butler Stats & Insights
Butler has been outscored by two points per game (posting 65.3 points per game, 328th in college basketball, while allowing 67.3 per contest, 98th in college basketball) and has a -61 scoring differential.
Butler comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 5.0 boards. It pulls down 27.8 rebounds per game (353rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.8.
Butler connects on 6.6 three-pointers per game (266th in college basketball) at a 33.4% rate (231st in college basketball), compared to the 6.3 its opponents make, shooting 32.1% from beyond the arc.
Butler averages 88.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (297th in college basketball), and gives up 91.3 points per 100 possessions (174th in college basketball).
At home, the Bulldogs average 69.4 points per game. On the road, they score 60.6.
Xavier Key Players to Watch
Souley Boum leads the Musketeers in scoring, tallying 17 points per game to go with 4.1 rebounds and 4.5 assists.
Zach Freemantle is Xavier’s leading rebounder, grabbing 8.1 per game, while Colby Jones is its best passer, distributing 4.6 assists in each contest.
Boum makes more threes per game than any other member of the Musketeers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.2 per contest.
Jones is Xavier’s leader in steals, averaging 1.4 steals per game, while Jack Nunge leads them in blocks with 1.2 per contest.
Butler Key Players to Watch
Jayden Taylor is at the top of the Bulldogs scoring leaderboard with 13.1 points per game. He also grabs 3.8 rebounds and racks up 1.3 assists per game.
The Butler leaders in rebounding and assists are Manny Bates with 5.6 rebounds per game (he also adds 11.8 points and 1.4 assists per game) and Simas Lukosius with 2.9 assists per game (he also tacks on 11.3 points and 4.1 rebounds per game).
Lukosius is reliable from distance and leads the Bulldogs with 1.8 made threes per game.
Butler’s leader in steals is Eric Hunter Jr. (1.3 per game), and its leader in blocks is Bates (two per game).
Xavier vs. Butler Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Xavier 79, Butler 66
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How to Bet on Xavier vs. Butler
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