Yale vs. Brown Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

The Brown Bears (14-12, 7-6 Ivy League) are 4.5-point underdogs as they try to build on a four-game home winning streak when they take on the Yale Bulldogs (19-7, 9-4 Ivy League) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is set at 138.

Yale vs. Brown Odds

• Yale odds to win: -197
• Brown odds to win: +165
• Spread: Yale (-4.5)
• Total: 138

Yale vs. Brown Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Where: Providence, Rhode Island
• Venue: Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center

Who Will Win Yale vs. Brown?

Yale and Brown Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games it has played as at least 4.5-point favorites this season, Yale is 8-5 against the spread.

Brown has a 6-5 record against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this year.

The two teams average a combined 7.5 more points per game (145.5) than this matchup’s total of 138 points.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 131 points per game, seven fewer than the point total for this matchup.

The average over/under Yale has had in its games this season is 0.4 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average over/under in Bears games this season is 0.1 more points than the point total of 138 in this outing.

The Bulldogs’ ATS record is 16-8-0 this season.

The Bears are 16-9-1 ATS this season.

Yale Stats & Insights

Yale averages 76.2 points per game (74th in college basketball) while giving up 62.2 per contest (17th in college basketball). It has a +365 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 14 points per game.

The 35.2 rebounds per game Yale averages rank 31st in college basketball, and are 6.9 more than the 28.3 its opponents collect per contest.

The Bulldogs connect on 7.4 three-pointers per game (187th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 7.1. They shoot 35.5% from deep while their opponents hit 32.2% from long range.

Yale ranks 20th in college basketball by averaging 101.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 10th in college basketball, allowing 82.7 points per 100 possessions.

In home games, the Bulldogs are scoring 13 more points per game (83.2) than they are in road games (70.2).

Brown Stats & Insights

Brown has a +15 scoring differential, putting up 69.3 points per game (243rd in college basketball) and allowing 68.8 (138th in college basketball).

Brown is 120th in the country at 32.7 rebounds per game. That’s 1.2 more than the 31.5 its opponents average.

Brown connects on 8 three-pointers per game (109th in college basketball) at a 34.9% rate (150th in college basketball), compared to the 7.4 its opponents make, shooting 35% from beyond the arc.

Brown puts up 90.4 points per 100 possessions (267th in college basketball), while giving up 89.6 points per 100 possessions (124th in college basketball).

At home the Bears are scoring 72.1 points per game, 4.8 more than they are averaging on the road (67.3).

Yale Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Bulldogs this season is Matt Knowling, who averages 14.5 points, five rebounds, and 2.1 assists per game.

Yale’s leading rebounder is EJ Jarvis averaging 5.4 boards per game and its best passer is Bez Mbeng and his 3.3 assists per game.

John Poulakidas leads the Bulldogs in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Mbeng is Yale’s leader in steals, averaging 1.5 steals per game, while Jarvis leads them in blocks with 1.5 per contest.

Brown Key Players to Watch

Kino Lilly Jr. is at the top of the Bears scoring leaderboard with 16.8 points per game. He also pulls down 1.9 rebounds and averages 2.5 assists per game.

The Brown leaders in rebounding and assists are Nana Owusu-Anane with 8.5 rebounds per game (he also adds 10.7 points and 2.2 assists per game) and Paxson Wojcik with 3.2 assists per game (he also tacks on 14.5 points and 7.2 rebounds per game).

Lilly is the most prolific from the three-point line for the Bears, hitting 2.8 threes per game.

Brown’s leader in steals and blocks is Owusu-Anane with 1.5 steals and 1.2 blocks per game.

Yale vs. Brown Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Yale (-4.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Under (138)
  

• Prediction:
  Yale 72, Brown 66

How to Bet on Yale vs. Brown

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