Louisiana vs. Texas State Sun Belt Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023

The No. 2 seed Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (24-7, 13-5 Sun Belt) are favored by seven points in the Sun Belt Tournament over the No. 11 seed Texas State Bobcats (16-18, 6-12 Sun Belt). The teams will hit the court Sunday at 8:30 PM live on ESPN+, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under in the matchup is set at 138.5.

Louisiana vs. Texas State Odds

• Louisiana odds to win: -313
• Texas State odds to win: +248
• Spread: Louisiana (-7)
• Total: 138.5

Louisiana vs. Texas State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Where: Pensacola, Florida
• Venue: Pensacola Bay Center

Who Will Win Louisiana vs. Texas State?

Louisiana and Texas State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Louisiana has a 5-5 record against the spread in games it was favored by 7 points or more this season.

In games this season in which it was an underdog by 7 points or more, Texas State has a 3-3 record against the spread.

These two teams average 144.9 points per game combined, 6.4 more than the over/under of 138.5.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 137.1 points per game, 1.4 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.

Louisiana’s average point total in outings this season is 149.0, 10.5 points higher than the over/under in this game.

The average point total for the Bobcats this year is 5.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

The Ragin’ Cajuns have a 15-13-0 record against the spread this season.

The Bobcats are 12-18-1 against the spread this year.

Louisiana Stats & Insights

Louisiana has a +260 scoring differential, topping opponents by 8.4 points per game. It is putting up 78.7 points per game to rank 32nd in college basketball and is giving up 70.3 per outing to rank 185th in college basketball.

Louisiana prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 6.1 boards. It is recording 34.2 rebounds per game (49th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.1 per outing.

The Ragin’ Cajuns make 7.1 three-pointers per game (212th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.1. They shoot 37.6% from deep while their opponents hit 34.3% from long range.

Louisiana ranks 25th in college basketball with 101.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and 136th in college basketball defensively with 90.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, the Ragin’ Cajuns are putting up 12.8 more points per game (85.6) than they are on the road (72.8).

Texas State Stats & Insights

Texas State has a -19 scoring differential, putting up 66.2 points per game (318th in college basketball) and conceding 66.8 (82nd in college basketball).

The 30.0 rebounds per game Texas State accumulates rank 280th in college basketball, 2.1 more than the 27.9 its opponents pull down.

Texas State makes 1.7 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 4.5 (359th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.2.

Texas State scores 91.8 points per 100 possessions (233rd in college basketball), while allowing 92.6 points per 100 possessions (215th in college basketball).

The Bobcats score 66.1 points per game at home, and 63.9 on the road.

Louisiana Key Players to Watch

Jordan Brown leads the Ragin’ Cajuns in scoring and rebounding, putting up 19.7 points and 8.5 rebounds per game.

Themus Fulks is Louisiana’s best passer, dispensing 6.0 assists per game while scoring 9.1 PPG.

Greg Williams Jr. makes more threes per game than any other member of the Ragin’ Cajuns, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.9 per contest.

Williams is Louisiana’s leader in steals, averaging 1.1 steals per game, while Brown leads them in blocks with 1.3 per contest.

Texas State Key Players to Watch

The Bobcats’ Mason Harrell puts up enough points (16.0 per game) and assists (2.5 per game) to sit atop the squad’s leaderboards.

Tyler Morgan’s stat line of 6.2 rebounds, 8.9 points and 1.5 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Texas State rebounding leaderboard.

Harrell is reliable from deep and leads the Bobcats with 1.4 made threes per game.

Harrell (1.0 steal per game) is the steal leader for Texas State while Nate Martin (0.9 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Louisiana vs. Texas State Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Texas State (+7)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (138.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Louisiana 72, Texas State 67

How to Bet on Louisiana vs. Texas State

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