Montana vs. Idaho State Big Sky Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, March 6, 2023
The Big Sky conference tournament continues Monday as the No. 4 seed Montana Grizzlies (16-13, 10-7 Big Sky) face off against the No. 5 seed Idaho State Bengals (11-20, 8-10 Big Sky) at Idaho Central Arena, starting at 7:30 PM on ESPN+. Montana is a 4.5-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total in the matchup is set at 131.5.
Montana vs. Idaho State Odds
- Montana odds to win: -202
- Idaho State odds to win: +168
- Spread: Montana (-4.5)
- Total: 131.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Monday, March 6, 2023
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Boise, Idaho
- Venue: Idaho Central Arena
Who Will Win Montana vs. Idaho State?
Montana and Idaho State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When it has played as at least 4.5-point favorites this season, Montana is 5-6 against the spread.
In games this season in which it was an underdog by 4.5 points or more, Idaho State has a 6-7-1 record against the spread.
Between them, these two teams average 6.2 more points per game (137.7) than this game’s over/under (131.5).
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 6.6 more points per game, 138.1, than this game’s over/under of 131.5 points.
Montana’s average point total in outings this year is 136.2, 4.7 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average total for Bengals games this season is 8.1 more points than the point total of 131.5 for this outing.
The Grizzlies’ ATS record is 13-15-0 this season.
The Bengals have a 13-14-1 record against the spread this season.
Montana Stats & Insights
Montana has a +36 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.2 points per game. It is putting up 68.7 points per game to rank 258th in college basketball and is giving up 67.5 per contest to rank 99th in college basketball.
Montana records 27.7 rebounds per game (354th in college basketball) compared to the 27.6 of its opponents.
The Grizzlies hit 8 three-pointers per game (106th in college basketball), 2.2 more than their opponents (5.8). They are shooting 37.6% from beyond the arc (26th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 31.6%.
Montana puts up 98.1 points per 100 possessions (70th in college basketball), while allowing 96.3 points per 100 possessions (308th in college basketball).
The Grizzlies score 69.8 points per game at home, compared to 66.9 points per game in away games, a difference of 2.9 points per contest.
Idaho State Stats & Insights
Idaho State puts up 69 points per game (250th in college basketball) while giving up 70.6 per outing (193rd in college basketball). It has a -50 scoring differential and has been outscored by 1.6 points per game.
Idaho State loses the rebound battle by an average of 1.8 boards. It records 28.8 rebounds per game (320th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 30.6.
Idaho State hits 7.6 three-pointers per game (157th in college basketball), 1.6 more than its opponents. It shoots 33.5% from beyond the arc (223rd in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 32.4%.
Idaho State ranks 194th in college basketball averaging 93.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 288th, allowing 95.6 points per 100 possessions.
The Bengals average 69.6 points per game at home, and 68.6 on the road.
Montana Key Players to Watch
Josh Bannan leads the Grizzlies in rebounds and assists. Bannan averages 15.1 points, 8.4 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game.
Aanen Moody leads Montana in scoring, averaging 16 per game to go with 3.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists.
Moody leads the Grizzlies in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.6 shots per game from beyond the arc.
The Montana steals leader is Moody, who averages 0.9 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Bannan, who compiles 0.5 rejections per contest.
Idaho State Key Players to Watch
Brock Mackenzie racks up 12.9 points per game and is the top scorer for the Bengals.
The Idaho State leaders in rebounding and assists are Brayden Parker with 4.7 rebounds per game (he also adds 11.7 points and 1.4 assists per game) and Austin Smellie with 2.1 assists per game (he also tacks on 6 points and 3.7 rebounds per game).
Mackenzie hits 1.9 three-pointers per game, the most on the Bengals.
Maleek Arington (1.2 steals per game) is the steal leader for Idaho State while Parker (one block per game) is the block leader.
Montana vs. Idaho State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Montana 72, Idaho State 66
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How to Bet on Montana vs. Idaho State
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