Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU WCC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, March 6, 2023
The WCC conference tournament continues Monday as the No. 1 seed Saint Mary’s Gaels (25-6, 14-2 WCC) face off against the No. 5 seed BYU Cougars (19-14, 7-9 WCC) at Orleans Arena, beginning at 9:00 PM on ESPN. Saint Mary’s (CA) is a 7-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has a point total of 131.
Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU Odds
- Saint Mary’s (CA) odds to win: -330
- BYU odds to win: +260
- Spread: Saint Mary’s (CA) (-7)
- Total: 131
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Monday, March 6, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Where: Paradise, Nevada
- Venue: Orleans Arena
Who Will Win Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU?
Saint Mary’s (CA) and BYU Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Saint Mary’s (CA) has a 14-8-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 7 points or more this season.
BYU is 4-0 against the spread when an underdog by 7 points or more this year.
The Gaels and Cougars average 16.6 more points between them than the total of 131 for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 129 points per game, 2.0 fewer than the point total for this game.
The average point total in Saint Mary’s (CA)’s games this year is 0.2 more points than the over/under of 131 in this matchup.
Cougars games this year have averaged an over/under of 145.4 points, 14.4 more than the point total in this matchup.
So far this season, the Gaels have put together a 17-12-1 record against the spread.
So far this season, the Cougars have put together a 17-13-1 record against the spread.
Saint Mary’s (CA) Stats & Insights
Saint Mary’s (CA) averages 71.9 points per game (180th in college basketball) while allowing 59.3 per outing (fifth in college basketball). It has a +390 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 12.6 points per game.
Saint Mary’s (CA) records 32.9 rebounds per game (109th in college basketball) while conceding 25.9 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 7.0 boards per game.
The Gaels knock down 7.9 three-pointers per game (118th in college basketball) at a 37.2% rate (37th in college basketball), compared to the 5.3 per game their opponents make at a 32.0% rate.
Saint Mary’s (CA) scores 100.6 points per 100 possessions (28th in college basketball), while allowing 83.0 points per 100 possessions (13th in college basketball).
Offensively, the Gaels have fared better when playing at home this season, averaging 74.8 points per game, compared to 70.0 per game when playing on the road.
BYU Stats & Insights
BYU is outscoring opponents by 6.0 points per game, with a +199 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.7 points per game (85th in college basketball) and allows 69.7 per outing (167th in college basketball).
BYU grabs 33.9 rebounds per game (59th in college basketball) while allowing 27.5 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.4 boards per game.
BYU makes 8.2 three-pointers per game (90th in college basketball) at a 34.2% rate (183rd in college basketball), compared to the 7.2 its opponents make, shooting 33.6% from deep.
BYU averages 95.9 points per 100 possessions (125th in college basketball), while giving up 88.3 points per 100 possessions (89th in college basketball).
At home the Cougars are scoring 76.3 points per game, 4.4 more than they are averaging on the road (71.9).
Saint Mary’s (CA) Key Players to Watch
The leader in points and assists for the Gaels is Logan Johnson, who scores 14.6 points and distributes 3.7 assists per game.
Mitchell Saxen is Saint Mary’s (CA)’s best rebounder, grabbing an average of 8.0 boards in each contest while scoring 11.8 points per game.
Alex Ducas leads the Gaels in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.
The Saint Mary’s (CA) steals leader is Johnson, who averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Saxen, who compiles 1.2 rejections per contest.
BYU Key Players to Watch
The Cougars’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Fousseyni Traore with 13.0 points and 7.9 rebounds per game.
Dallin Hall’s assist statline paces BYU; he dishes out 3.2 assists per game.
Jaxson Robinson is the most prolific from the three-point line for the Cougars, hitting 1.9 threes per game.
BYU’s leader in steals is Spencer Johnson (1.7 per game), and its leader in blocks is Atiki Ally Atiki (1.0 per game).
Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Saint Mary’s (CA) (-7)
- Pick OU:
Saint Mary’s (CA) 72, BYU 65
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