Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky Horizon Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, March 6, 2023
The No. 1 seed Youngstown State Penguins (24-8, 15-5 Horizon) are favored by 3.5 points in their Horizon Tournament matchup against the No. 4 seed Northern Kentucky Norse (20-12, 14-6 Horizon) on Monday at Indiana Farmers Coliseum, beginning at 7:00 PM on ESPNU. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 139 points.
Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky Odds
- Youngstown State odds to win: -171
- Northern Kentucky odds to win: +144
- Spread: Youngstown State (-3.5)
- Total: 139
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Monday, March 6, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPNU
- Where: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Venue: Indiana Farmers Coliseum
Who Will Win Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky?
Youngstown State and Northern Kentucky Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Youngstown State has a 14-10 record against the spread this season when favored by 3.5 points or more.
When it has played as at least a 3.5-point underdog this year, Northern Kentucky is 1-4 against the spread.
These teams average 151.3 points per game combined, 12.3 more than the total of 139.
Youngstown State and Northern Kentucky have seen their opponents average a combined 2.8 fewer points per game than the over/under of 139 set in this game.
The average total Youngstown State has had in its games this season is 16.6 more points than this particular game’s point total.
Norse games this season have averaged an over/under of 131.8 points, 7.2 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
The Penguins have an 18-13-0 record against the spread this season.
The Norse have a 13-17-0 record against the spread this year.
Youngstown State Stats & Insights
Youngstown State has a +337 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.6 points per game. It is putting up 83.1 points per game to rank fourth in college basketball and is giving up 72.5 per outing to rank 250th in college basketball.
The 32.3 rebounds per game Youngstown State averages rank 145th in the country, and are 3.0 more than the 29.3 its opponents pull down per contest.
The Penguins knock down 8.1 three-pointers per game (96th in college basketball) at a 37.3% rate (35th in college basketball), compared to the 7.2 their opponents make while shooting 34.9% from deep.
Youngstown State averages 104.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (seventh in college basketball), and gives up 91.4 points per 100 possessions (175th in college basketball).
The Penguins are posting 85.9 points per game in home games. On the road, they are averaging 80.7 points per contest.
Northern Kentucky Stats & Insights
Northern Kentucky outscores opponents by 4.5 points per game (posting 68.2 points per game, 273rd in college basketball, and giving up 63.7 per contest, 29th in college basketball) and has a +145 scoring differential.
Northern Kentucky is 263rd in college basketball at 30.4 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 30.1 its opponents average.
Northern Kentucky connects on 8.4 three-pointers per game (72nd in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.5 on average.
Northern Kentucky averages 93.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (199th in college basketball), and concedes 87 points per 100 possessions (68th in college basketball).
At home the Norse are scoring 72.7 points per game, 9.4 more than they are averaging on the road (63.3).
Youngstown State Key Players to Watch
The Penguins leader in points and assists is Dwayne Cohill, who scores 17.8 points per game to go with 4.9 assists.
Adrian Nelson leads Youngstown State in rebounding, pulling down 9.4 rebounds per game while also scoring 13.5 points a contest.
Brandon Rush makes more threes per game than any other member of the Penguins, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.3 per contest.
The Youngstown State leader in both steals and blocks is Nelson, who averages 1.5 takeaways and 0.5 rejections per game.
Northern Kentucky Key Players to Watch
Marques Warrick scores 19 points per game and is the top scorer for the Norse.
Northern Kentucky’s leader in rebounds is Chris Brandon with 9.6 per game, and its leader in assists is Xavier Rhodes with 3.8 per game.
Warrick is dependable from deep and leads the Norse with 2.6 made threes per game.
Northern Kentucky’s leader in steals is Sam Vinson (2.4 per game), and its leader in blocks is Brandon (0.7 per game).
Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Youngstown State (-3.5)
- Pick OU:
Youngstown State 74, Northern Kentucky 69
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How to Bet on Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky
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