Furman vs. Chattanooga SoCon Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, March 6, 2023
The No. 7 seed Chattanooga Mocs (18-16, 7-11 SoCon) are 3-point underdogs in the SoCon championship game, as sportsbooks think the No. 1 Furman Paladins (26-7, 15-3 SoCon) will claim the automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The title game tips off Monday at 7:00 PM, live on ESPN. The matchup’s over/under is set at 150.5.
Furman vs. Chattanooga Odds
- Furman odds to win: -171
- Chattanooga odds to win: +146
- Spread: Furman (-3)
- Total: 150.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Monday, March 6, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Where: Asheville, North Carolina
- Venue: Harrah’s Cherokee Center Asheville
Who Will Win Furman vs. Chattanooga?
Furman and Chattanooga Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Furman is 14-11 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.
Chattanooga is 1-5 against the spread when an underdog by 3 points or more this season.
The Paladins and Mocs average 8.5 more points between them than the total of 150.5 for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 142.6 points per game, 7.9 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
Furman’s average point total in outings this season is 152.9, 2.4 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average point total for the Mocs this season is 1.7 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
The Paladins’ ATS record is 17-13-0 this season.
The Mocs are 14-16-1 against the spread this season.
Furman Stats & Insights
Furman outscores opponents by 10.9 points per game (scoring 81.9 per game to rank 11th in college basketball while allowing 71 per outing to rank 204th in college basketball) and has a +361 scoring differential overall.
The 33 rebounds per game Furman averages rank 106th in the nation, and are three more than the 30 its opponents collect per contest.
The Paladins knock down 9.6 three-pointers per game (15th in college basketball) while shooting 34.8% from beyond the arc (153rd in college basketball). They are making 2.8 more threes per outing than their opponents, who drain 6.8 per game while shooting 33.4%.
Furman records 105.3 points per 100 possessions (fifth in college basketball), while allowing 91.2 points per 100 possessions (168th in college basketball).
Offensively, the Paladins have played better at home this season, putting up 86.5 points per game, compared to 77.5 per game in away games.
Chattanooga Stats & Insights
Chattanooga has a +188 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.5 points per game. It is putting up 77.1 points per game, 55th in college basketball, and is giving up 71.6 per outing to rank 226th in college basketball.
Chattanooga wins the rebound battle by 2.6 boards on average. It collects 33.3 rebounds per game, 91st in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.7.
Chattanooga makes 2.9 more threes per game than the opposition, 11.4 (first in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.5.
Chattanooga ranks 30th in college basketball with 100.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 231st defensively with 93.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In 2022-23 the Mocs are scoring 8.8 more points per game at home (80.8) than on the road (72).
Furman Key Players to Watch
The Paladins scoring leader is Mike Bothwell, who averages 18 per contest to go with 3.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists.
Jalen Slawson leads Furman in rebounding, averaging 7.2 per game, while JP Pegues leads the team in assists, distributing an average of four in each contest.
Pegues makes more threes per game than any other member of the Paladins, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of two per contest.
Slawson is a standout on the defensive end for Furman, leading the team in steals with 1.6 per game and blocks with 1.5 per contest.
Chattanooga Key Players to Watch
The Mocs’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Jamal Johnson with 13.8 points and 4.3 rebounds per game.
Dalvin White’s assist statline paces Chattanooga; he records 2.8 assists per game.
Johnson is the top shooter from deep for the Mocs, hitting 2.6 threes per game.
Chattanooga’s leader in steals is Johnson (one per game), and its leader in blocks is Sam Alexis (0.6 per game).
Furman vs. Chattanooga Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Furman (-3)
- Pick OU:
Under (150.5)
- Prediction:
Furman 78, Chattanooga 72
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