Louisiana vs. South Alabama Sun Belt Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, March 6, 2023
The No. 2 seed Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (25-7, 13-5 Sun Belt) are favored by 1.5 points when they face off the No. 8 seed South Alabama Jaguars (19-15, 9-9 Sun Belt) in the Sun Belt Tournament Championship with an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket up for grabs. The game on Monday at Pensacola Bay Center tips off at 7:00 PM and airs on ESPN2. The point total is set at 139 in the matchup.
Louisiana vs. South Alabama Odds
- Louisiana odds to win: -125
- South Alabama odds to win: +105
- Spread: Louisiana (-1.5)
- Total: 139
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Monday, March 6, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN2
- Where: Pensacola, Florida
- Venue: Pensacola Bay Center
Who Will Win Louisiana vs. South Alabama?
Louisiana and South Alabama Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games it has played as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, Louisiana is 13-9 against the spread.
In games this season in which it was an underdog by 1.5 points or more, South Alabama has a 7-5 record against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 10.4 more points per game (149.4) than this matchup’s total of 139 points.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 134.9 points per game, 4.1 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
Louisiana’s average total in matchups this season has been 148.2, 9.2 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.
The average total for Jaguars games this year is 2.9 fewer points than the point total of 139 for this outing.
The Ragin’ Cajuns have a 15-14-0 record against the spread this season.
The Jaguars have a 21-11-0 record against the spread this year.
Louisiana Stats & Insights
Louisiana’s +266 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 78.3 points per game (38th in college basketball) while giving up 69.9 per contest (175th in college basketball).
Louisiana wins the rebound battle by six boards on average. It records 34.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 51st in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 28.1 per outing.
The Ragin’ Cajuns connect on 7 three-pointers per game (222nd in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6 on average.
Louisiana averages 100.6 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball), while allowing 89.9 points per 100 possessions (132nd in college basketball).
Offensively, the Ragin’ Cajuns have played better at home this season, averaging 85.6 points per game, compared to 72.8 per game when playing on the road.
South Alabama Stats & Insights
South Alabama puts up 71.1 points per game (190th in college basketball) while allowing 65 per outing (43rd in college basketball). It has a +206 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 6.1 points per game.
South Alabama loses the rebound battle by 2.7 boards on average. It collects 30.2 rebounds per game, 267th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 32.9.
South Alabama knocks down 2.9 more threes per contest than the opposition, 7.7 (139th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 4.8.
South Alabama’s 96.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 116th in college basketball, and the 88 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 84th in college basketball.
At home the Jaguars are putting up 73.1 points per game, 5.2 more than they are averaging away (67.9).
Louisiana Key Players to Watch
The scoring and rebounding leader for the Ragin’ Cajuns is Jordan Brown, who puts up 19.6 points and 8.4 rebounds per game.
Themus Fulks leads Louisiana in assists, averaging six per game while also scoring 8.9 points per contest.
Greg Williams Jr. makes more threes per game than any other member of the Ragin’ Cajuns, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.9 per contest.
The Louisiana steals leader is Williams, who averages 1.1 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Brown, who compiles 1.3 rejections per contest.
South Alabama Key Players to Watch
Isaiah Moore’s points (18.5 per game) and assists (4.7 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Jaguars’ leaderboards.
Kevin Samuel is at the top of the South Alabama rebounding leaderboard with 9.1 rebounds per game. He also racks up 10.1 points and tacks on 0.5 assists per game.
Owen White is the top shooter from deep for the Jaguars, hitting 2.2 threes per game.
Moore (1.3 steals per game) is the steal leader for South Alabama while Samuel (2.5 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Louisiana vs. South Alabama Prediction
- Pick ATS:
South Alabama (+1.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (139)
- Prediction:
South Alabama 71, Louisiana 70
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How to Bet on Louisiana vs. South Alabama
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