Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) WCC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, March 7, 2023
The No. 2 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (27-5, 14-2 WCC) and the No. 1 Saint Mary’s Gaels (26-6, 14-2 WCC) will meet to determine the WCC conference champion on Tuesday at 9:00 PM, live on ESPN. Gonzaga holds the advantage, as bookmakers favor the by 2.5 points to claim the automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 141 points.
Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Odds
- Gonzaga odds to win: -151
- Saint Mary’s (CA) odds to win: +128
- Spread: Gonzaga (-2.5)
- Total: 141
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Tuesday, March 7, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Where: Paradise, Nevada
- Venue: Orleans Arena
Who Will Win Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA)?
Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s (CA) Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Gonzaga has a 12-16 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.
Saint Mary’s (CA) has a 1-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 18.8 more points per game, 159.8, than this matchup’s total of 141 points.
Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s (CA) have seen their opponents average a combined 7.8 fewer points per game than the point total of 141 set for this outing.
The average total Gonzaga has had in its games this season is 20.4 more points than this particular game’s point total.
Gaels games this year have averaged an over/under of 131.6 points, 9.4 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
The Bulldogs have gone 13-18-0 ATS this season.
So far this season, the Gaels have put together a 17-12-2 record against the spread.
Gonzaga Stats & Insights
Gonzaga outscores opponents by 14.2 points per game (scoring 87.8 per game to rank first in college basketball while allowing 73.6 per contest to rank 281st in college basketball) and has a +456 scoring differential overall.
Gonzaga grabs 33.6 rebounds per game (68th in college basketball) while conceding 28.5 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 5.1 boards per game.
The Bulldogs connect on 7.8 three-pointers per game (129th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 8.3. They shoot 38.3% from deep while their opponents hit 34.8% from long range.
Gonzaga scores 109.5 points per 100 possessions (first in college basketball), while giving up 91.8 points per 100 possessions (189th in college basketball).
Offensively, the Bulldogs have played better when playing at home this season, posting 92.9 points per game, compared to 84.8 per game when playing on the road.
Saint Mary’s (CA) Stats & Insights
Saint Mary’s (CA) puts up 72.0 points per game (177th in college basketball) while giving up 59.6 per outing (fifth in college basketball). It has a +397 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 12.4 points per game.
Saint Mary’s (CA) ranks 113th in the country at 32.8 rebounds per game. That’s 6.9 more than the 25.9 its opponents average.
Saint Mary’s (CA) makes 7.9 three-pointers per game (118th in college basketball) at a 37.4% rate (33rd in college basketball), compared to the 5.3 per game its opponents make, at a 31.9% rate.
Saint Mary’s (CA) scores 100.8 points per 100 possessions (26th in college basketball), while conceding 83.4 points per 100 possessions (17th in college basketball).
The Gaels are putting up more points at home (74.8 per game) than away (70.0).
Gonzaga Key Players to Watch
The scoring and rebounding leader for the Bulldogs is Drew Timme, who accumulates 21.0 points and 7.4 rebounds per game.
Nolan Hickman is Gonzaga’s best passer, dispensing 3.3 assists per game while scoring 8.3 PPG.
Julian Strawther leads the Bulldogs in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Anton Watson and Timme lead Gonzaga on the defensive end, with Watson leading the team in steals averaging 1.8 per game and Timme in blocks averaging 0.9 per contest.
Saint Mary’s (CA) Key Players to Watch
Aidan Mahaney racks up 14.7 points per game to be the top scorer for the Gaels.
Mitchell Saxen has a stat line of 7.9 rebounds, 11.8 points and 1.7 assists per game for Saint Mary’s (CA) to take the top rebound spot on the team. Logan Johnson holds the top spot for assists with 3.7 per game, adding 14.5 points and 4.8 rebounds per outing.
Alex Ducas knocks down 2.6 three-pointers per game, the most on the Gaels.
Johnson (1.5 steals per game) is the steal leader for Saint Mary’s (CA) while Saxen (1.2 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Saint Mary’s (CA) (+2.5)
- Pick OU:
Gonzaga 74, Saint Mary’s (CA) 72
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